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Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

icon for Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

4% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
4% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has advanced his 20-point Gaza peace plan through the Board of Peace, which he chairs from Washington, focusing on reconstruction, demilitarization, and a multinational stabilization force rather than direct engagement on the ground. Recent developments, including the July 2026 announcement of a Hamas disarmament agreement and ongoing implementation hurdles with Israeli coordination, underscore diplomatic oversight via the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza and international partners without scheduled presidential travel. Persistent security risks, the absence of any confirmed itinerary or statements indicating a visit, and the plan’s emphasis on technocratic governance structures align with trader consensus that a 2026 trip remains improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$458
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump has advanced his 20-point Gaza peace plan through the Board of Peace, which he chairs from Washington, focusing on reconstruction, demilitarization, and a multinational stabilization force rather than direct engagement on the ground. Recent developments, including the July 2026 announcement of a Hamas disarmament agreement and ongoing implementation hurdles with Israeli coordination, underscore diplomatic oversight via the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza and international partners without scheduled presidential travel. Persistent security risks, the absence of any confirmed itinerary or statements indicating a visit, and the plan’s emphasis on technocratic governance structures align with trader consensus that a 2026 trip remains improbable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$458
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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«Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 4% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 4¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 4%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

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Текущая вероятность для «Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?» составляет 4% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 4%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

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