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icon for Махмуд Аббас покинет пост президента Палестины...?

Махмуд Аббас покинет пост президента Палестины...?

icon for Махмуд Аббас покинет пост президента Палестины...?

Махмуд Аббас покинет пост президента Палестины...?

$142,154 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$142,154 Объем

Polymarket

31 декабря

$53,554 Объем

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, who has led the Palestinian Authority since 2005, remains in office amid ongoing succession arrangements that designate Hussein al-Sheikh as interim replacement in the event of a vacancy. Abbas was unanimously re-elected Fatah leader in May 2026 and issued decrees scheduling legislative elections for November 2026, with reports of presidential voting targeted for early 2027. These steps follow earlier appointments creating a vice-presidential role and clarifying transition procedures, though analysts note past election cancellations when Abbas's position faced internal pressure. His advanced age and health have fueled long-standing speculation about leadership change, yet no recent announcements indicate an immediate departure. Traders assessing timing markets would focus on whether scheduled votes proceed, Fatah internal dynamics, or external diplomatic developments that could accelerate or delay any transition.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$142,154
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, who has led the Palestinian Authority since 2005, remains in office amid ongoing succession arrangements that designate Hussein al-Sheikh as interim replacement in the event of a vacancy. Abbas was unanimously re-elected Fatah leader in May 2026 and issued decrees scheduling legislative elections for November 2026, with reports of presidential voting targeted for early 2027. These steps follow earlier appointments creating a vice-presidential role and clarifying transition procedures, though analysts note past election cancellations when Abbas's position faced internal pressure. His advanced age and health have fueled long-standing speculation about leadership change, yet no recent announcements indicate an immediate departure. Traders assessing timing markets would focus on whether scheduled votes proceed, Fatah internal dynamics, or external diplomatic developments that could accelerate or delay any transition.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$142,154
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Махмуд Аббас покинет пост президента Палестины...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 14%, за ним следует «30 июня» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 14¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Махмуд Аббас покинет пост президента Палестины...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $142.2K с момента запуска рынка Jan 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Махмуд Аббас покинет пост президента Палестины...?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Махмуд Аббас покинет пост президента Палестины...?» — «31 декабря» с 14%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 июня» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Махмуд Аббас покинет пост президента Палестины...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.