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icon for Канада высылает посла США до 31 декабря?

Канада высылает посла США до 31 декабря?

icon for Канада высылает посла США до 31 декабря?

Канада высылает посла США до 31 декабря?

Да

6% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

6% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing trade negotiations and routine diplomatic engagements between Ottawa and Washington continue without escalation to formal expulsion measures. A citizen petition with over 70,000 signatures has called for U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra to be declared persona non grata amid public criticism of his statements, yet the document remains scheduled for parliamentary presentation in the fall with no accompanying government action or official statements indicating intent to remove him. Canadian officials, including the trade minister and the newly appointed ambassador to the United States, have emphasized continued bilateral coordination on economic issues through mid-August deadlines and beyond. Historical precedent shows ambassador expulsions as rare diplomatic tools reserved for acute crises, and current relations lack comparable triggers. These factors underpin trader consensus that expulsion by year-end remains improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$96
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing trade negotiations and routine diplomatic engagements between Ottawa and Washington continue without escalation to formal expulsion measures. A citizen petition with over 70,000 signatures has called for U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra to be declared persona non grata amid public criticism of his statements, yet the document remains scheduled for parliamentary presentation in the fall with no accompanying government action or official statements indicating intent to remove him. Canadian officials, including the trade minister and the newly appointed ambassador to the United States, have emphasized continued bilateral coordination on economic issues through mid-August deadlines and beyond. Historical precedent shows ambassador expulsions as rare diplomatic tools reserved for acute crises, and current relations lack comparable triggers. These factors underpin trader consensus that expulsion by year-end remains improbable.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$96
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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Это очень открытый рынок. Текущий лидер для «Канада высылает посла США до 31 декабря?» — «Канада высылает посла США до 31 декабря?» всего с 6%. Поскольку ни один исход не доминирует, трейдеры видят это как крайне неопределённую ситуацию, что может создавать уникальные торговые возможности. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени, так что добавь эту страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Канада высылает посла США до 31 декабря?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.