Recent polling averages place Trump’s approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with RCP at 39.9% and other aggregators near 38–40% as of late August. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 range because sustained economic headwinds—particularly inflation, elevated gas prices, and fallout from the U.S.-Iran conflict—have kept ratings pinned in this band for months without decisive upward movement. Republican strong approval has softened, while overall disapproval remains elevated near 57–60%. With only days until the September 4 measurement window, absent a major positive catalyst, the market reflects expectations that the next few polls will land near current levels rather than shifting materially higher or lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено38,0–38,4 48%
38,5–38,9 28%
37,0–37,4 17.2%
37,5–37,9 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
<37,0
6%
37,0–37,4
17%
37,5–37,9
21%
38,0–38,4
42%
38,5–38,9
28%
39,0+
14%
38,0–38,4 48%
38,5–38,9 28%
37,0–37,4 17.2%
37,5–37,9 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
<37,0
$67 Объем
6%
37,0–37,4
$21 Объем
17%
37,5–37,9
$331 Объем
21%
38,0–38,4
$232 Объем
42%
38,5–38,9
$1,213 Объем
28%
39,0+
$201 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Trump’s approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with RCP at 39.9% and other aggregators near 38–40% as of late August. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 range because sustained economic headwinds—particularly inflation, elevated gas prices, and fallout from the U.S.-Iran conflict—have kept ratings pinned in this band for months without decisive upward movement. Republican strong approval has softened, while overall disapproval remains elevated near 57–60%. With only days until the September 4 measurement window, absent a major positive catalyst, the market reflects expectations that the next few polls will land near current levels rather than shifting materially higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Объем
$2,065Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Trump’s approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with RCP at 39.9% and other aggregators near 38–40% as of late August. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 range because sustained economic headwinds—particularly inflation, elevated gas prices, and fallout from the U.S.-Iran conflict—have kept ratings pinned in this band for months without decisive upward movement. Republican strong approval has softened, while overall disapproval remains elevated near 57–60%. With only days until the September 4 measurement window, absent a major positive catalyst, the market reflects expectations that the next few polls will land near current levels rather than shifting materially higher or lower.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$2,065Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Trump’s approval in the high 30s to low 40s, with RCP at 39.9% and other aggregators near 38–40% as of late August. Traders have concentrated probability on the 38.0–38.9 range because sustained economic headwinds—particularly inflation, elevated gas prices, and fallout from the U.S.-Iran conflict—have kept ratings pinned in this band for months without decisive upward movement. Republican strong approval has softened, while overall disapproval remains elevated near 57–60%. With only days until the September 4 measurement window, absent a major positive catalyst, the market reflects expectations that the next few polls will land near current levels rather than shifting materially higher or lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы