**No new country has joined the Abraham Accords since Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025.** With the October 31, 2026 deadline roughly two months away, the short timeframe and lack of active normalization talks make a fresh signatory unlikely. Saudi Arabia remains the primary candidate, yet Riyadh continues to condition any deal on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a position unchanged despite U.S. President Trump linking a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords membership. Recent regional diplomacy has instead emphasized alternative security arrangements, such as Saudi-Pakistani-Turkish defense pacts, while other potential participants like Syria maintain dialogue without formal progress. These factors underpin traders’ strong consensus against a new accession before the cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
7% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Да
7% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country has joined the Abraham Accords since Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025.** With the October 31, 2026 deadline roughly two months away, the short timeframe and lack of active normalization talks make a fresh signatory unlikely. Saudi Arabia remains the primary candidate, yet Riyadh continues to condition any deal on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a position unchanged despite U.S. President Trump linking a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords membership. Recent regional diplomacy has instead emphasized alternative security arrangements, such as Saudi-Pakistani-Turkish defense pacts, while other potential participants like Syria maintain dialogue without formal progress. These factors underpin traders’ strong consensus against a new accession before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Объем
$832Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**No new country has joined the Abraham Accords since Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025.** With the October 31, 2026 deadline roughly two months away, the short timeframe and lack of active normalization talks make a fresh signatory unlikely. Saudi Arabia remains the primary candidate, yet Riyadh continues to condition any deal on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a position unchanged despite U.S. President Trump linking a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords membership. Recent regional diplomacy has instead emphasized alternative security arrangements, such as Saudi-Pakistani-Turkish defense pacts, while other potential participants like Syria maintain dialogue without formal progress. These factors underpin traders’ strong consensus against a new accession before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$832Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 5:42 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**No new country has joined the Abraham Accords since Kazakhstan’s accession in November 2025.** With the October 31, 2026 deadline roughly two months away, the short timeframe and lack of active normalization talks make a fresh signatory unlikely. Saudi Arabia remains the primary candidate, yet Riyadh continues to condition any deal on an irreversible pathway to Palestinian statehood—a position unchanged despite U.S. President Trump linking a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement to Abraham Accords membership. Recent regional diplomacy has instead emphasized alternative security arrangements, such as Saudi-Pakistani-Turkish defense pacts, while other potential participants like Syria maintain dialogue without formal progress. These factors underpin traders’ strong consensus against a new accession before the cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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