Recent polling averages place Liberalerna at 2.2–3.3 percent support ahead of the September 13 election, consistently below the 4 percent national threshold required for Riksdag seats under Sweden’s proportional system. Multiple surveys from Indikator Opinion, Verian, Demoskop, and Novus through late August and early September show the party trailing its 2022 result of 4.6 percent, with limited campaign momentum on education or liberal priorities amid bloc competition. Minor late gains to around 3 percent have narrowed but not closed the gap, while the tight left-right contest amplifies the impact of any threshold miss. Trader pricing for “No” at 57.5 percent aligns with these patterns and the structural barriers to entry.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПарламентские выборы в Швеции: либералы выигрывают места?
Парламентские выборы в Швеции: либералы выигрывают места?
Да
43% вероятность
$86,559 Объем
$86,559 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
Да
43% вероятность
$86,559 Объем
$86,559 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Liberalerna at 2.2–3.3 percent support ahead of the September 13 election, consistently below the 4 percent national threshold required for Riksdag seats under Sweden’s proportional system. Multiple surveys from Indikator Opinion, Verian, Demoskop, and Novus through late August and early September show the party trailing its 2022 result of 4.6 percent, with limited campaign momentum on education or liberal priorities amid bloc competition. Minor late gains to around 3 percent have narrowed but not closed the gap, while the tight left-right contest amplifies the impact of any threshold miss. Trader pricing for “No” at 57.5 percent aligns with these patterns and the structural barriers to entry.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 13, 2026, 5:12 AM ET
Объем
$86,559Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:12 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Liberalerna at 2.2–3.3 percent support ahead of the September 13 election, consistently below the 4 percent national threshold required for Riksdag seats under Sweden’s proportional system. Multiple surveys from Indikator Opinion, Verian, Demoskop, and Novus through late August and early September show the party trailing its 2022 result of 4.6 percent, with limited campaign momentum on education or liberal priorities amid bloc competition. Minor late gains to around 3 percent have narrowed but not closed the gap, while the tight left-right contest amplifies the impact of any threshold miss. Trader pricing for “No” at 57.5 percent aligns with these patterns and the structural barriers to entry.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$86,559Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 13, 2026, 5:12 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent polling averages place Liberalerna at 2.2–3.3 percent support ahead of the September 13 election, consistently below the 4 percent national threshold required for Riksdag seats under Sweden’s proportional system. Multiple surveys from Indikator Opinion, Verian, Demoskop, and Novus through late August and early September show the party trailing its 2022 result of 4.6 percent, with limited campaign momentum on education or liberal priorities amid bloc competition. Minor late gains to around 3 percent have narrowed but not closed the gap, while the tight left-right contest amplifies the impact of any threshold miss. Trader pricing for “No” at 57.5 percent aligns with these patterns and the structural barriers to entry.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Парламентские выборы в Швеции: Получила ли партия Эребро места?
21%
Да
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win fewer than 105 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
48%
Выиграет ли Шведская социал-демократическая партия (S) наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в Швеции в 2026 году?
98%
Да
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