Sweden's parliamentary election on September 13 produced a narrow victory for the centre-left bloc, positioning Social Democrats leader Magdalena Andersson to form the next government and return as prime minister. Preliminary counts show her four-party alliance securing 175-176 seats in the 349-seat Riksdag against 173-174 for the incumbent right-wing Tidö parties, a margin confirmed by public broadcaster SVT with over 99% of votes tallied. Consistent polling leads throughout 2026, driven by voter priorities on welfare spending, cost of living, and security, underpinned trader consensus on Andersson well before election day. Remaining overseas and late ballots are unlikely to reverse the result, though prolonged coalition negotiations among the Red-Greens could introduce minor procedural delays before parliamentary confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMarket prices stabilize with Andersson favored as next Prime Minister
Magdalena Andersson jumps to 88%8%
Following election results and ongoing vote counts, market prices settled with Magdalena Andersson as the clear favorite to become Prime Minister, reflecting consensus in credible reporting.
Liberals secure parliamentary threshold, ensuring continued influence in government formation
The Liberals cleared the 4% threshold comfortably, securing their place in the Riksdag and maintaining their role in coalition negotiations, though Simona Mohamsson’s chances of premiership remained negligible.














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