Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, show Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 31 hovering near 15–17 °C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering around 17 °C (38.5 %), 15 °C (35.5 %), and 16 °C (27.5 %) in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud cover or dew-point depression can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima near 14–16 °C provide context, yet current guidance favors values above the long-term average owing to residual warm advection. Updated model outputs and observational data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine the range before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 31 августа?
20°C or higher 55%
17°C 38%
15°C 31%
16°C 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
<1%
13°C
9%
14°C
26%
15°C
31%
16°C
30%
17°C
38%
18°C
18%
19°C
16%
20°C or higher
55%
20°C or higher 55%
17°C 38%
15°C 31%
16°C 30%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$0 Объем
<1%
11°C
$130 Объем
3%
12°C
$145 Объем
<1%
13°C
$48 Объем
9%
14°C
$0 Объем
26%
15°C
$0 Объем
31%
16°C
$0 Объем
30%
17°C
$0 Объем
38%
18°C
$0 Объем
18%
19°C
$0 Объем
16%
20°C or higher
$155 Объем
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, show Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 31 hovering near 15–17 °C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering around 17 °C (38.5 %), 15 °C (35.5 %), and 16 °C (27.5 %) in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud cover or dew-point depression can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima near 14–16 °C provide context, yet current guidance favors values above the long-term average owing to residual warm advection. Updated model outputs and observational data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$478Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, show Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 31 hovering near 15–17 °C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering around 17 °C (38.5 %), 15 °C (35.5 %), and 16 °C (27.5 %) in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud cover or dew-point depression can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima near 14–16 °C provide context, yet current guidance favors values above the long-term average owing to residual warm advection. Updated model outputs and observational data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine the range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$478Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS, show Warsaw's minimum temperature on August 31 hovering near 15–17 °C amid partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions produce the tight clustering around 17 °C (38.5 %), 15 °C (35.5 %), and 16 °C (27.5 %) in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud cover or dew-point depression can alter the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima near 14–16 °C provide context, yet current guidance favors values above the long-term average owing to residual warm advection. Updated model outputs and observational data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will refine the range before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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