Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional observations indicates radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw’s overnight minimum to 11°C, producing the market’s 99% implied probability. Surface observations show dew points near 13–14°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, consistent with typical late-August boundary-layer behavior when high pressure dominates. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk from warm advection or increased cloud cover. A modest increase in low-level moisture or an earlier frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or above, while stronger radiative losses might briefly dip toward 10°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 30 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 30 августа?
11°C 99%
10°C 2%
9°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$2,265 Объем
$2,265 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
99%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99%
10°C 2%
9°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$2,265 Объем
$2,265 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$271 Объем
<1%
10°C
$170 Объем
2%
11°C
$113 Объем
99%
12°C
$346 Объем
<1%
13°C
$349 Объем
<1%
14°C
$130 Объем
<1%
15°C
$351 Объем
<1%
16°C
$20 Объем
<1%
17°C
$5 Объем
<1%
18°C
$305 Объем
<1%
19°C or higher
$205 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional observations indicates radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw’s overnight minimum to 11°C, producing the market’s 99% implied probability. Surface observations show dew points near 13–14°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, consistent with typical late-August boundary-layer behavior when high pressure dominates. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk from warm advection or increased cloud cover. A modest increase in low-level moisture or an earlier frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or above, while stronger radiative losses might briefly dip toward 10°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,265Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional observations indicates radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw’s overnight minimum to 11°C, producing the market’s 99% implied probability. Surface observations show dew points near 13–14°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, consistent with typical late-August boundary-layer behavior when high pressure dominates. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk from warm advection or increased cloud cover. A modest increase in low-level moisture or an earlier frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or above, while stronger radiative losses might briefly dip toward 10°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,265Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional observations indicates radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw’s overnight minimum to 11°C, producing the market’s 99% implied probability. Surface observations show dew points near 13–14°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, consistent with typical late-August boundary-layer behavior when high pressure dominates. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk from warm advection or increased cloud cover. A modest increase in low-level moisture or an earlier frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or above, while stronger radiative losses might briefly dip toward 10°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current guidance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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