Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime high in Warsaw on August 31 near 26–27°C under southwesterly flow and lingering late-summer warmth, supporting the market’s elevated implied odds for 27°C or higher. Partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms or showers during peak heating hours could limit full insolation and slightly suppress the maximum, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds favor modest mixing. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 23–25°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal temperatures from a building ridge before a frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from IMGW or ECMWF will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 31 августа?
27°C or higher 61%
26°C 28%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
28%
27°C or higher
61%
27°C or higher 61%
26°C 28%
25°C 7%
24°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$251 Объем
<1%
18°C
$254 Объем
<1%
19°C
$351 Объем
<1%
20°C
$351 Объем
<1%
21°C
$215 Объем
<1%
22°C
$497 Объем
<1%
23°C
$342 Объем
1%
24°C
$325 Объем
4%
25°C
$1,472 Объем
7%
26°C
$995 Объем
28%
27°C or higher
$3,215 Объем
61%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime high in Warsaw on August 31 near 26–27°C under southwesterly flow and lingering late-summer warmth, supporting the market’s elevated implied odds for 27°C or higher. Partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms or showers during peak heating hours could limit full insolation and slightly suppress the maximum, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds favor modest mixing. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 23–25°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal temperatures from a building ridge before a frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from IMGW or ECMWF will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$8,267Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime high in Warsaw on August 31 near 26–27°C under southwesterly flow and lingering late-summer warmth, supporting the market’s elevated implied odds for 27°C or higher. Partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms or showers during peak heating hours could limit full insolation and slightly suppress the maximum, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds favor modest mixing. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 23–25°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal temperatures from a building ridge before a frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from IMGW or ECMWF will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,267Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate a daytime high in Warsaw on August 31 near 26–27°C under southwesterly flow and lingering late-summer warmth, supporting the market’s elevated implied odds for 27°C or higher. Partly cloudy skies with a 30–50% chance of scattered thunderstorms or showers during peak heating hours could limit full insolation and slightly suppress the maximum, while dew points in the mid-teens Celsius and light winds favor modest mixing. Historical late-August baselines for the region average around 23–25°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal temperatures from a building ridge before a frontal passage. Updated model runs and official briefings from IMGW or ECMWF will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы