Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 1 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 1 сентября?
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
17°C or below
$177 Объем
<1%
18°C
$111 Объем
2%
19°C
$62 Объем
2%
20°C
$154 Объем
13%
21°C
$226 Объем
38%
22°C
$1,814 Объем
39%
23°C
$10 Объем
11%
24°C
$5 Объем
4%
25°C
$5 Объем
2%
26°C
$238 Объем
<1%
27°C or higher
$88 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$2,891Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,891Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы