Persistent summer atmospheric conditions in South Florida, including high humidity, light winds, and the moderating influence of the Atlantic and Gulf waters, are positioning overnight lows near 76-77°F as the dominant outcome for Miami on August 4. Typical early August climatology shows average lows of 78°F, with rare dips below 74°F absent a strong cold front or unusual dry-air intrusion—neither of which is indicated in current model consensus. Recent scattered thunderstorms through August 3 have increased cloud cover and moisture, slightly enhancing radiative cooling potential overnight without triggering broader cooling. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts support stabilization in the mid- to upper-70s range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that heavily favor this narrow band over lower or higher thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 4 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Майами 4 августа?
76-77°F 85%
74-75°F 13%
72-73°F 1.1%
70-71°F <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
85%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 85%
74-75°F 13%
72-73°F 1.1%
70-71°F <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 авг. 2026 г.
69°F or below
$547 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$504 Объем
1%
72-73°F
$156 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$243 Объем
13%
76-77°F
$249 Объем
85%
78-79°F
$1,546 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$1,282 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$1,218 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$1,040 Объем
<1%
86-87°F
$427 Объем
<1%
88°F or higher
$367 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer atmospheric conditions in South Florida, including high humidity, light winds, and the moderating influence of the Atlantic and Gulf waters, are positioning overnight lows near 76-77°F as the dominant outcome for Miami on August 4. Typical early August climatology shows average lows of 78°F, with rare dips below 74°F absent a strong cold front or unusual dry-air intrusion—neither of which is indicated in current model consensus. Recent scattered thunderstorms through August 3 have increased cloud cover and moisture, slightly enhancing radiative cooling potential overnight without triggering broader cooling. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts support stabilization in the mid- to upper-70s range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that heavily favor this narrow band over lower or higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Объем
$7,578Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer atmospheric conditions in South Florida, including high humidity, light winds, and the moderating influence of the Atlantic and Gulf waters, are positioning overnight lows near 76-77°F as the dominant outcome for Miami on August 4. Typical early August climatology shows average lows of 78°F, with rare dips below 74°F absent a strong cold front or unusual dry-air intrusion—neither of which is indicated in current model consensus. Recent scattered thunderstorms through August 3 have increased cloud cover and moisture, slightly enhancing radiative cooling potential overnight without triggering broader cooling. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts support stabilization in the mid- to upper-70s range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that heavily favor this narrow band over lower or higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,578Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer atmospheric conditions in South Florida, including high humidity, light winds, and the moderating influence of the Atlantic and Gulf waters, are positioning overnight lows near 76-77°F as the dominant outcome for Miami on August 4. Typical early August climatology shows average lows of 78°F, with rare dips below 74°F absent a strong cold front or unusual dry-air intrusion—neither of which is indicated in current model consensus. Recent scattered thunderstorms through August 3 have increased cloud cover and moisture, slightly enhancing radiative cooling potential overnight without triggering broader cooling. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts support stabilization in the mid- to upper-70s range, aligning with trader-implied probabilities that heavily favor this narrow band over lower or higher thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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