Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Chengdu overnight lows of 21–23°C on August 31, consistent with late-August climatology under partly cloudy to clear skies and light winds. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome reflects expectations of stronger radiative cooling amid recent drier conditions and reduced cloud cover after earlier monsoon influences, alongside typical urban heat-island modulation and basin topography that can amplify nocturnal drops. Key variables include dew-point depressions and any last-minute shifts in steering flow; updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 31 августа?
19°C 52%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
8%
18°C
16%
19°C
52%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 52%
21°C 27%
22°C 27%
23°C 27%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
8%
18°C
16%
19°C
52%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models project Chengdu overnight lows of 21–23°C on August 31, consistent with late-August climatology under partly cloudy to clear skies and light winds. Trader emphasis on 19°C as the leading outcome reflects expectations of stronger radiative cooling amid recent drier conditions and reduced cloud cover after earlier monsoon influences, alongside typical urban heat-island modulation and basin topography that can amplify nocturnal drops. Key variables include dew-point depressions and any last-minute shifts in steering flow; updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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