Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Chengdu on September 1, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal cloud cover in the Sichuan basin that favors moderate radiative cooling. Trader-implied odds leading with 19°C or below reflect model spread and historical variability in early-September minima, which average around 22°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs near 32–34°C with dew points supporting overnight drops of 10–12°C, while any increase in humidity or light precipitation could tighten the range toward 21–23°C. Updated runs from CMA and global centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 1 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Чэнду 1 сентября?
19°C or below 44%
21°C 40%
22°C 33%
23°C 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
19°C or below
44%
20°C
26%
21°C
40%
22°C
33%
23°C
32%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
19°C or below 44%
21°C 40%
22°C 33%
23°C 32%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 сент. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$0 Объем
44%
20°C
$0 Объем
26%
21°C
$0 Объем
40%
22°C
$0 Объем
33%
23°C
$0 Объем
32%
24°C
$0 Объем
26%
25°C
$0 Объем
25%
26°C
$0 Объем
2%
27°C
$0 Объем
1%
28°C
$0 Объем
1%
29°C or higher
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Chengdu on September 1, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal cloud cover in the Sichuan basin that favors moderate radiative cooling. Trader-implied odds leading with 19°C or below reflect model spread and historical variability in early-September minima, which average around 22°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs near 32–34°C with dew points supporting overnight drops of 10–12°C, while any increase in humidity or light precipitation could tighten the range toward 21–23°C. Updated runs from CMA and global centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Chengdu on September 1, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal cloud cover in the Sichuan basin that favors moderate radiative cooling. Trader-implied odds leading with 19°C or below reflect model spread and historical variability in early-September minima, which average around 22°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs near 32–34°C with dew points supporting overnight drops of 10–12°C, while any increase in humidity or light precipitation could tighten the range toward 21–23°C. Updated runs from CMA and global centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C for Chengdu on September 1, driven by persistent high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited nocturnal cloud cover in the Sichuan basin that favors moderate radiative cooling. Trader-implied odds leading with 19°C or below reflect model spread and historical variability in early-September minima, which average around 22°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. Recent observations show daytime highs near 32–34°C with dew points supporting overnight drops of 10–12°C, while any increase in humidity or light precipitation could tighten the range toward 21–23°C. Updated runs from CMA and global centers over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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