Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 31 августа?
36°C 45%
35°C 34%
34°C 12%
37°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
12%
35°C
34%
36°C
45%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 34%
34°C 12%
37°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$636 Объем
<1%
30°C
$1,157 Объем
<1%
31°C
$545 Объем
<1%
32°C
$454 Объем
2%
33°C
$557 Объем
4%
34°C
$892 Объем
12%
35°C
$898 Объем
34%
36°C
$2,421 Объем
45%
37°C
$1,291 Объем
6%
38°C
$495 Объем
1%
39°C or higher
$376 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$9,722Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,722Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent clearing after scattered August rainfall has boosted surface heating under mostly sunny skies in the Sichuan Basin, where subsidence and light easterly winds favor strong diurnal warming. Official and model guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak near 33–35°C on August 31, with local urban stations potentially recording 1–2°C higher due to the heat-island effect and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus around 35–36°C reflects this consensus while incorporating minor upside from forecast revisions and measurement variability at official sites. Historical late-August maxima in Chengdu average near 34°C, providing context for the narrow distribution. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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