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icon for Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?
Климат и наука·Бизнес

Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?

icon for Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?
Климат и наука·Бизнес

Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?

SpaceX 54%

Anthropic 44.5%

OpenAI <1%

Discord <1%

Polymarket

$5,433,862 Объем

SpaceX 54%

Anthropic 44.5%

OpenAI <1%

Discord <1%

Polymarket

$5,433,862 Объем

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$747,327 Объем

54%

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$790,151 Объем

44%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$477,743 Объем

<1%

icon for Discord

Discord

$176,728 Объем

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$208,392 Объем

<1%

icon for Stripe

Stripe

$129,177 Объем

<1%

icon for Kraken

Kraken

$655,953 Объем

<1%

icon for SHEIN

SHEIN

$581,615 Объем

<1%

icon for Waymo

Waymo

$316,150 Объем

<1%

icon for Revolut

Revolut

$633,436 Объем

<1%

icon for Perplexity AI

Perplexity AI

$104,136 Объем

<1%

icon for Databricks

Databricks

$613,055 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation—the largest on record at the time—anchors trader expectations, yet Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing and investor targets of $2 trillion or higher for an October listing create tight competition, reflecting AI revenue trajectories exceeding $100 billion annualized run rates for both firms. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its integration into the SpaceX entity, while OpenAI's sub-1% pricing reflects delayed timing amid post-SpaceX market volatility and a lower $852 billion private valuation. Differentiators include Anthropic's faster recent growth in enterprise AI contracts versus SpaceX's established Starlink cash flows and satellite economics, with final resolution hinging on actual IPO pricing multiples and market conditions through year-end.

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.

This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.

A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$5,433,862
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation—the largest on record at the time—anchors trader expectations, yet Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing and investor targets of $2 trillion or higher for an October listing create tight competition, reflecting AI revenue trajectories exceeding $100 billion annualized run rates for both firms. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its integration into the SpaceX entity, while OpenAI's sub-1% pricing reflects delayed timing amid post-SpaceX market volatility and a lower $852 billion private valuation. Differentiators include Anthropic's faster recent growth in enterprise AI contracts versus SpaceX's established Starlink cash flows and satellite economics, with final resolution hinging on actual IPO pricing multiples and market conditions through year-end.

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.

This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.

A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$5,433,862
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Связанные

icon for Рыночная капитализация Ledger на момент закрытия IPO превысит $1 млрд?

Рыночная капитализация Ledger на момент закрытия IPO превысит $1 млрд?

26%
Да
icon for Будет ли рыночная капитализация Stripe составлять не менее $500 млрд к закрытию торгов в день IPO?

Будет ли рыночная капитализация Stripe составлять не менее $500 млрд к закрытию торгов в день IPO?

44%
Да
icon for Достигнет ли оценка Revolut (ВЫСОКАЯ) $125 млрд к 31 декабря?

Достигнет ли оценка Revolut (ВЫСОКАЯ) $125 млрд к 31 декабря?

78%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 12 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «SpaceX» с 54%, за ним следует «Anthropic» с 45%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $5.4 million с момента запуска рынка Feb 2, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?», просмотри 12 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?» — «SpaceX» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Anthropic» с 45%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.