**Alexandre Leduc (Québec solidaire) leads trader pricing at 60.5% as the incumbent MNA for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, a Montreal riding with a strong left-leaning history.** He won decisively in 2022 with over 50% of the vote under redistributed boundaries. Recent 338Canada projections rate the seat a toss-up between QS and the Parti Québécois, with QS holding a modest edge in vote share amid the broader October 5, 2026, general election campaign. Provincial polling shows the PQ competitive overall, yet this district’s demographics and Leduc’s established profile as a sitting critic on labor, family, and administrative files support his position. Maude Brossard-Sabourin (PQ) follows at 33%, while CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates trail at under 1%, reflecting limited traction in the riding. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no major late developments reported that would shift the local contest. Market pricing reflects incumbency advantage and riding-specific voting patterns rather than province-wide trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАлександр Ледюк 58%
Мод Броссар-Сабурен 34%
Беатрис Одону 1.1%
Жанни Гаспар <1%
Александр Ледюк
61%
Мод Броссар-Сабурен
34%
Беатрис Одону
1%
Жанни Гаспар
<1%
Елена Пенто
<1%
Александр Ледюк 58%
Мод Броссар-Сабурен 34%
Беатрис Одону 1.1%
Жанни Гаспар <1%
Александр Ледюк
61%
Мод Броссар-Сабурен
34%
Беатрис Одону
1%
Жанни Гаспар
<1%
Елена Пенто
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Источник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Alexandre Leduc (Québec solidaire) leads trader pricing at 60.5% as the incumbent MNA for Hochelaga-Maisonneuve, a Montreal riding with a strong left-leaning history.** He won decisively in 2022 with over 50% of the vote under redistributed boundaries. Recent 338Canada projections rate the seat a toss-up between QS and the Parti Québécois, with QS holding a modest edge in vote share amid the broader October 5, 2026, general election campaign. Provincial polling shows the PQ competitive overall, yet this district’s demographics and Leduc’s established profile as a sitting critic on labor, family, and administrative files support his position. Maude Brossard-Sabourin (PQ) follows at 33%, while CAQ, Liberal, and Conservative candidates trail at under 1%, reflecting limited traction in the riding. Nomination deadlines close September 17, with no major late developments reported that would shift the local contest. Market pricing reflects incumbency advantage and riding-specific voting patterns rather than province-wide trends.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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