Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 6 project a daily maximum near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80-90% rain chances and high humidity that typically caps peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. An intensifying El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, favors suppressed rainfall and modestly elevated temperatures relative to climatology (historical August highs averaging 31°C), yet short-term model runs show limited warming potential given frequent showers. Trader clustering around 28-30°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and any late-day convective bursts that can shave 1-2°C off the maximum, while lower odds for 32°C+ highlight the buffering effect of monsoon moisture on peak solar heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Маниле 6 августа?
29°C 27%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
5%
26°C
6%
27°C
9%
28°C
22%
29°C
27%
30°C
17%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C или выше
1%
29°C 27%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$51 Объем
5%
26°C
$21 Объем
6%
27°C
$122 Объем
9%
28°C
$0 Объем
22%
29°C
$35 Объем
27%
30°C
$26 Объем
17%
31°C
$54 Объем
14%
32°C
$22 Объем
5%
33°C
$0 Объем
2%
34°C
$0 Объем
2%
35°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 6 project a daily maximum near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80-90% rain chances and high humidity that typically caps peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. An intensifying El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, favors suppressed rainfall and modestly elevated temperatures relative to climatology (historical August highs averaging 31°C), yet short-term model runs show limited warming potential given frequent showers. Trader clustering around 28-30°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and any late-day convective bursts that can shave 1-2°C off the maximum, while lower odds for 32°C+ highlight the buffering effect of monsoon moisture on peak solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$330Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 6 project a daily maximum near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80-90% rain chances and high humidity that typically caps peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. An intensifying El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, favors suppressed rainfall and modestly elevated temperatures relative to climatology (historical August highs averaging 31°C), yet short-term model runs show limited warming potential given frequent showers. Trader clustering around 28-30°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and any late-day convective bursts that can shave 1-2°C off the maximum, while lower odds for 32°C+ highlight the buffering effect of monsoon moisture on peak solar heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$330Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Manila on August 6 project a daily maximum near 31°C amid the southwest monsoon, with 80-90% rain chances and high humidity that typically caps peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. An intensifying El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, favors suppressed rainfall and modestly elevated temperatures relative to climatology (historical August highs averaging 31°C), yet short-term model runs show limited warming potential given frequent showers. Trader clustering around 28-30°C reflects uncertainty in exact cloud timing, urban heat retention, and any late-day convective bursts that can shave 1-2°C off the maximum, while lower odds for 32°C+ highlight the buffering effect of monsoon moisture on peak solar heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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