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icon for Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?

36°C 55%

35°C 33%

37°C 13%

34°C 1.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

36°C 55%

35°C 33%

37°C 13%

34°C 1.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

31°C or below

$446 Объем

<1%

32°C

$460 Объем

<1%

33°C

$473 Объем

<1%

34°C

$556 Объем

1%

35°C

$1,634 Объем

33%

36°C

$1,097 Объем

55%

37°C

$1,007 Объем

13%

38°C

$387 Объем

<1%

39°C

$265 Объем

<1%

40°C

$449 Объем

<1%

41°C or higher

$305 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and AEMET's high-resolution models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 5 will most likely fall in the 35–37 °C range, with 36 °C emerging as the modal outcome. This consensus arises from persistent subtropical ridge conditions over the Iberian Peninsula, typical for early August, combined with limited moisture and moderate northeasterly flow that suppresses stronger warming. Historical August maxima average near 33 °C, yet current model spreads remain narrow, with minimal divergence between runs and no incoming Atlantic fronts expected before resolution. Updated AEMET briefings and 12z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs that could shift probabilities among the leading bins.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,080
Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and AEMET's high-resolution models indicate Madrid's maximum temperature on August 5 will most likely fall in the 35–37 °C range, with 36 °C emerging as the modal outcome. This consensus arises from persistent subtropical ridge conditions over the Iberian Peninsula, typical for early August, combined with limited moisture and moderate northeasterly flow that suppresses stronger warming. Historical August maxima average near 33 °C, yet current model spreads remain narrow, with minimal divergence between runs and no incoming Atlantic fronts expected before resolution. Updated AEMET briefings and 12z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the final observational inputs that could shift probabilities among the leading bins.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,080
Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «36°C» с 56%, за ним следует «35°C» с 33%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 56¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?» — «36°C» с 56%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Следующий ближайший исход — «35°C» с 33%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 5 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.