Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Munich on August 5, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5 % for 34 °C and 36.5 % for 33 °C. Persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support strong daytime heating over southern Bavaria, where soil moisture remains relatively low after recent dry spells. These factors have lifted implied probabilities for the upper-30s range above historical August averages of 23–25 °C, while keeping odds for 35 °C or higher below 10 % given modest model spread and the absence of stronger southerly advection. Updated runs overnight or early on August 5 will be the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 5 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 5 августа?
34°C 51%
33°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,766 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,766 Объем
5 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
4%
33°C
37%
34°C
51%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 51%
33°C 37%
35°C 9%
32°C 4%
НОВОЕ
$10,766 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,766 Объем
5 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$696 Объем
1%
31°C
$754 Объем
3%
32°C
$1,700 Объем
4%
33°C
$1,115 Объем
37%
34°C
$2,303 Объем
51%
35°C
$1,616 Объем
9%
36°C
$847 Объем
2%
37°C
$743 Объем
1%
38°C
$372 Объем
<1%
39°C
$268 Объем
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Munich on August 5, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5 % for 34 °C and 36.5 % for 33 °C. Persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support strong daytime heating over southern Bavaria, where soil moisture remains relatively low after recent dry spells. These factors have lifted implied probabilities for the upper-30s range above historical August averages of 23–25 °C, while keeping odds for 35 °C or higher below 10 % given modest model spread and the absence of stronger southerly advection. Updated runs overnight or early on August 5 will be the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$10,766Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Munich on August 5, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5 % for 34 °C and 36.5 % for 33 °C. Persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support strong daytime heating over southern Bavaria, where soil moisture remains relatively low after recent dry spells. These factors have lifted implied probabilities for the upper-30s range above historical August averages of 23–25 °C, while keeping odds for 35 °C or higher below 10 % given modest model spread and the absence of stronger southerly advection. Updated runs overnight or early on August 5 will be the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,766Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a peak temperature of 33–34 °C in Munich on August 5, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50.5 % for 34 °C and 36.5 % for 33 °C. Persistent high-pressure conditions, light winds, and minimal cloud cover are expected to support strong daytime heating over southern Bavaria, where soil moisture remains relatively low after recent dry spells. These factors have lifted implied probabilities for the upper-30s range above historical August averages of 23–25 °C, while keeping odds for 35 °C or higher below 10 % given modest model spread and the absence of stronger southerly advection. Updated runs overnight or early on August 5 will be the next key data points for traders monitoring resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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