Official AEMET-linked station data and regional monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 29.3°C in Madrid on August 29, 2026, following the unusually cool 21–25°C readings of August 28 under a strengthening anticyclone. This placed the outcome squarely at the 30°C market threshold after accounting for standard rounding and station consensus. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 30.5°C, so the observed value aligned closely with norms once the brief cool anomaly lifted. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event observations rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in final validated records or station-specific readings could still shift resolution if thresholds are applied strictly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 29 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 29 августа?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$41,725 Объем
$41,725 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$41,725 Объем
$41,725 Объем
29 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$638 Объем
No
26°C
$321 Объем
No
27°C
$727 Объем
No
28°C
$2,473 Объем
No
29°C
$3,834 Объем
No
30°C
$11,955 Объем
Yes
31°C
$12,106 Объем
No
32°C
$4,775 Объем
No
33°C
$2,923 Объем
No
34°C
$937 Объем
No
35°C or higher
$1,036 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET-linked station data and regional monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 29.3°C in Madrid on August 29, 2026, following the unusually cool 21–25°C readings of August 28 under a strengthening anticyclone. This placed the outcome squarely at the 30°C market threshold after accounting for standard rounding and station consensus. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 30.5°C, so the observed value aligned closely with norms once the brief cool anomaly lifted. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event observations rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in final validated records or station-specific readings could still shift resolution if thresholds are applied strictly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$41,725Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official AEMET-linked station data and regional monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 29.3°C in Madrid on August 29, 2026, following the unusually cool 21–25°C readings of August 28 under a strengthening anticyclone. This placed the outcome squarely at the 30°C market threshold after accounting for standard rounding and station consensus. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 30.5°C, so the observed value aligned closely with norms once the brief cool anomaly lifted. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event observations rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in final validated records or station-specific readings could still shift resolution if thresholds are applied strictly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$41,725Дата окончания
29 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official AEMET-linked station data and regional monitoring networks recorded a daily maximum of 29.3°C in Madrid on August 29, 2026, following the unusually cool 21–25°C readings of August 28 under a strengthening anticyclone. This placed the outcome squarely at the 30°C market threshold after accounting for standard rounding and station consensus. Historical climatology shows late-August averages near 30.5°C, so the observed value aligned closely with norms once the brief cool anomaly lifted. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event observations rather than forecasts, though minor discrepancies in final validated records or station-specific readings could still shift resolution if thresholds are applied strictly.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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