Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge on August 31, supporting a peak temperature near 32–34°C under typical late-summer continental conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5%), with secondary probability on 33°C (22.0%) reflecting slight model spread in maximum readings across the urban area. A modest chance of 35°C (16.5%) persists if afternoon heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of cooler advection or cloud cover. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance issued over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow range without introducing significant revisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 31 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 31 августа?
34°C 62%
33°C 21%
35°C 16%
32°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
21%
34°C
62%
35°C
16%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 62%
33°C 21%
35°C 16%
32°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$454 Объем
<1%
30°C
$170 Объем
<1%
31°C
$170 Объем
<1%
32°C
$286 Объем
3%
33°C
$1,603 Объем
21%
34°C
$1,271 Объем
62%
35°C
$2,220 Объем
16%
36°C
$335 Объем
<1%
37°C
$141 Объем
<1%
38°C
$238 Объем
<1%
39°C or higher
$155 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge on August 31, supporting a peak temperature near 32–34°C under typical late-summer continental conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5%), with secondary probability on 33°C (22.0%) reflecting slight model spread in maximum readings across the urban area. A modest chance of 35°C (16.5%) persists if afternoon heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of cooler advection or cloud cover. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance issued over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow range without introducing significant revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$7,043Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge on August 31, supporting a peak temperature near 32–34°C under typical late-summer continental conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5%), with secondary probability on 33°C (22.0%) reflecting slight model spread in maximum readings across the urban area. A modest chance of 35°C (16.5%) persists if afternoon heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of cooler advection or cloud cover. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance issued over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow range without introducing significant revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,043Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge on August 31, supporting a peak temperature near 32–34°C under typical late-summer continental conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5%), with secondary probability on 33°C (22.0%) reflecting slight model spread in maximum readings across the urban area. A modest chance of 35°C (16.5%) persists if afternoon heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of cooler advection or cloud cover. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance issued over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow range without introducing significant revisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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