Eric Girard, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec member and Quebec finance minister, holds the strongest position in the Groulx riding for the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His re-election bids since 2018 have produced consistent majorities in this Laurentides constituency, supported by the party's established organization and record on economic management. Marie-Claude Sarrazin, the Parti Québécois nominee announced in late August, brings visibility from her role as counsel in the SAAQclic public inquiry, allowing the party to emphasize accountability and fiscal oversight as contrasts to the governing record. Recent polling aggregates project a CAQ win probability near 70 percent, with other candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives trailing further behind. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for additional shifts before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭрик Жирар 71%
Мари-Клод Сарразен 24%
Жюли Туранжо 1.1%
Мари-Ноэль Обертен 1.1%

Эрик Жирар
71%

Мари-Клод Сарразен
24%

Жюли Туранжо
1%

Мари-Ноэль Обертен
1%
Эрик Жирар 71%
Мари-Клод Сарразен 24%
Жюли Туранжо 1.1%
Мари-Ноэль Обертен 1.1%

Эрик Жирар
71%

Мари-Клод Сарразен
24%

Жюли Туранжо
1%

Мари-Ноэль Обертен
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Источник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Eric Girard, the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec member and Quebec finance minister, holds the strongest position in the Groulx riding for the October 5, 2026, provincial election. His re-election bids since 2018 have produced consistent majorities in this Laurentides constituency, supported by the party's established organization and record on economic management. Marie-Claude Sarrazin, the Parti Québécois nominee announced in late August, brings visibility from her role as counsel in the SAAQclic public inquiry, allowing the party to emphasize accountability and fiscal oversight as contrasts to the governing record. Recent polling aggregates project a CAQ win probability near 70 percent, with other candidates from the Liberals, Québec solidaire, and Conservatives trailing further behind. The short campaign window leaves limited scope for additional shifts before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы