Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 faces downward pressure from the ongoing energy shock tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, which has elevated oil and gas prices and prompted institutions including the ECB, IMF, and OECD to revise forecasts to 0.8–0.9% for the year. Subdued Q1 and Q2 2026 activity, with quarterly GDP expanding just 0.1% and services PMI signaling contraction, alongside persistent core inflation above target, have reinforced expectations of only modest expansion. The market-implied 79.3% probability on the 0–1.0% bucket captures this consensus view of limited momentum, while the modest 15% odds on 1.0–2.0% reflect potential upside if energy prices ease following recent diplomatic developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0-1,0% 79.0%
1,0–2,0% 15%
4,0-5,0% 5.9%
<0% 2.3%
$30,417 Объем
$30,417 Объем
30 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
2%
0-1,0%
79%
1,0–2,0%
15%
2,0-3,0%
1%
3,0–4,0%
<1%
4,0-5,0%
6%
5,0-6,0%
<1%
6,0-7,0%
1%
7,0%+
<1%
0-1,0% 79.0%
1,0–2,0% 15%
4,0-5,0% 5.9%
<0% 2.3%
$30,417 Объем
$30,417 Объем
30 янв. 2027 г.
<0%
$1,672 Объем
2%
0-1,0%
$11,512 Объем
79%
1,0–2,0%
$7,156 Объем
15%
2,0-3,0%
$1,180 Объем
1%
3,0–4,0%
$1,096 Объем
<1%
4,0-5,0%
$2,240 Объем
6%
5,0-6,0%
$1,185 Объем
<1%
6,0-7,0%
$2,648 Объем
1%
7,0%+
$1,728 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 faces downward pressure from the ongoing energy shock tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, which has elevated oil and gas prices and prompted institutions including the ECB, IMF, and OECD to revise forecasts to 0.8–0.9% for the year. Subdued Q1 and Q2 2026 activity, with quarterly GDP expanding just 0.1% and services PMI signaling contraction, alongside persistent core inflation above target, have reinforced expectations of only modest expansion. The market-implied 79.3% probability on the 0–1.0% bucket captures this consensus view of limited momentum, while the modest 15% odds on 1.0–2.0% reflect potential upside if energy prices ease following recent diplomatic developments.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Объем
$30,417Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 faces downward pressure from the ongoing energy shock tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, which has elevated oil and gas prices and prompted institutions including the ECB, IMF, and OECD to revise forecasts to 0.8–0.9% for the year. Subdued Q1 and Q2 2026 activity, with quarterly GDP expanding just 0.1% and services PMI signaling contraction, alongside persistent core inflation above target, have reinforced expectations of only modest expansion. The market-implied 79.3% probability on the 0–1.0% bucket captures this consensus view of limited momentum, while the modest 15% odds on 1.0–2.0% reflect potential upside if energy prices ease following recent diplomatic developments.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$30,417Дата окончания
31 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone GDP growth for 2026 faces downward pressure from the ongoing energy shock tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, which has elevated oil and gas prices and prompted institutions including the ECB, IMF, and OECD to revise forecasts to 0.8–0.9% for the year. Subdued Q1 and Q2 2026 activity, with quarterly GDP expanding just 0.1% and services PMI signaling contraction, alongside persistent core inflation above target, have reinforced expectations of only modest expansion. The market-implied 79.3% probability on the 0–1.0% bucket captures this consensus view of limited momentum, while the modest 15% odds on 1.0–2.0% reflect potential upside if energy prices ease following recent diplomatic developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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