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icon for Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место
Выборы·Глобальные выборы

Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место
Выборы·Глобальные выборы

Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место

Jaques Wagner 60%

Angelo Coronel 17.1%

Rui Costa 14.5%

João Roma 5.5%

Polymarket

$30,077 Объем

Jaques Wagner 60%

Angelo Coronel 17.1%

Rui Costa 14.5%

João Roma 5.5%

Polymarket

$30,077 Объем

icon for Jaques Wagner

Jaques Wagner

$19,193 Объем

60%

icon for Angelo Coronel

Angelo Coronel

$1,506 Объем

17%

icon for Rui Costa

Rui Costa

$4,601 Объем

14%

icon for João Roma

João Roma

$989 Объем

6%

icon for Carlos Sodré

Carlos Sodré

$652 Объем

<1%

icon for Gregorio Gould

Gregorio Gould

$570 Объем

<1%

icon for Marcelo Carvalho

Marcelo Carvalho

$488 Объем

<1%

icon for Marcelo Millet

Marcelo Millet

$673 Объем

<1%

icon for Marcelo Santtana

Marcelo Santtana

$654 Объем

<1%

icon for Professora Delliana

Professora Delliana

$751 Объем

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jaques Wagner (PT) leads trader consensus for second place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate contest at 60%, well ahead of Angelo Coronel (17.2%) and João Roma (5.5%).** Recent August polls from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and AtlasIntel show Rui Costa (PT) dominating first-place intentions while Wagner consistently ranks second in consolidated or second-vote scenarios, reflecting PT’s structural advantage in the state and the split opposition vote between Coronel (Republicanos) and Roma (PL). Wagner’s positioning has stabilized after a June 2026 Federal Police operation tied to the Banco Master case prompted a temporary dip in some surveys. High shares of undecided voters (around 22%) and blank/null ballots sustain uncertainty among lower-polling candidates, but no late developments have shifted the established ordering. The two-seat, single-round format favors the top two finishers, reinforcing market pricing around Wagner as the probable runner-up.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$30,077
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Jaques Wagner (PT) leads trader consensus for second place in Bahia’s October 4 Senate contest at 60%, well ahead of Angelo Coronel (17.2%) and João Roma (5.5%).** Recent August polls from Quaest, Paraná Pesquisas, and AtlasIntel show Rui Costa (PT) dominating first-place intentions while Wagner consistently ranks second in consolidated or second-vote scenarios, reflecting PT’s structural advantage in the state and the split opposition vote between Coronel (Republicanos) and Roma (PL). Wagner’s positioning has stabilized after a June 2026 Federal Police operation tied to the Banco Master case prompted a temporary dip in some surveys. High shares of undecided voters (around 22%) and blank/null ballots sustain uncertainty among lower-polling candidates, but no late developments have shifted the established ordering. The two-seat, single-round format favors the top two finishers, reinforcing market pricing around Wagner as the probable runner-up.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$30,077
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Сможет ли Руй Кошта получить больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат Баии в 2026 году?

Сможет ли Руй Кошта получить больше всего голосов на выборах в Сенат Баии в 2026 году?

70%
Да
icon for Получит ли Александр Кури второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Параны 2026 года?

Получит ли Александр Кури второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Параны 2026 года?

39%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Лейла ду Волей второе по числу голосов место на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

Выиграет ли Лейла ду Волей второе по числу голосов место на выборах в Сенат Федерального округа 2026 года?

64%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jaques Wagner» с 60%, за ним следует «Angelo Coronel» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 60¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $30.1K с момента запуска рынка Aug 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место» — «Jaques Wagner» с 60%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 60%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Angelo Coronel» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат штата Баия: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.