Apnimed's IPO, priced at $16 per share for an upsized 12 million shares on July 30, 2026, with trading commencing July 31 under ticker APMD, underpins the 99.6% market-implied probability of a closing market capitalization above $960 million. Positive Phase 3 results for lead candidate AD109, FDA NDA acceptance in mid-July, and a robust 2026 biotech IPO backdrop have driven strong institutional demand, reflected in the offering's expansion beyond initial targets near $600 million valuation. This skin-in-the-game consensus from Polymarket traders prices in sustained momentum through the August 3 closing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected regulatory delays, weaker-than-expected aftermarket trading volumes, or macroeconomic shifts raising risk aversion in healthcare equities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$960M+ 99.6%
$600M-$720M 1.0%
$480M-$600M <1%
$840M-$960M <1%
$2,887 Объем
$2,887 Объем
30 июл. 2026 г.
<$480M
No
$480M-$600M
No
$600M-$720M
No
$720M-$840M
No
$840M-$960M
No
$960M+
Yes
No IPO before October 2026
No
$960M+ 99.6%
$600M-$720M 1.0%
$480M-$600M <1%
$840M-$960M <1%
$2,887 Объем
$2,887 Объем
30 июл. 2026 г.
<$480M
$182 Объем
No
$480M-$600M
$392 Объем
No
$600M-$720M
$759 Объем
No
$720M-$840M
$237 Объем
No
$840M-$960M
$511 Объем
No
$960M+
$611 Объем
Yes
No IPO before October 2026
$194 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on Apnimed's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 31 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Apnimed's IPO, priced at $16 per share for an upsized 12 million shares on July 30, 2026, with trading commencing July 31 under ticker APMD, underpins the 99.6% market-implied probability of a closing market capitalization above $960 million. Positive Phase 3 results for lead candidate AD109, FDA NDA acceptance in mid-July, and a robust 2026 biotech IPO backdrop have driven strong institutional demand, reflected in the offering's expansion beyond initial targets near $600 million valuation. This skin-in-the-game consensus from Polymarket traders prices in sustained momentum through the August 3 closing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected regulatory delays, weaker-than-expected aftermarket trading volumes, or macroeconomic shifts raising risk aversion in healthcare equities.
This market will resolve based on Apnimed's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 31 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 31 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Объем
$2,887Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on Apnimed's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 31 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Apnimed's IPO, priced at $16 per share for an upsized 12 million shares on July 30, 2026, with trading commencing July 31 under ticker APMD, underpins the 99.6% market-implied probability of a closing market capitalization above $960 million. Positive Phase 3 results for lead candidate AD109, FDA NDA acceptance in mid-July, and a robust 2026 biotech IPO backdrop have driven strong institutional demand, reflected in the offering's expansion beyond initial targets near $600 million valuation. This skin-in-the-game consensus from Polymarket traders prices in sustained momentum through the August 3 closing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected regulatory delays, weaker-than-expected aftermarket trading volumes, or macroeconomic shifts raising risk aversion in healthcare equities.
This market will resolve based on Apnimed's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 31 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 31 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Объем
$2,887Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Apnimed's IPO, priced at $16 per share for an upsized 12 million shares on July 30, 2026, with trading commencing July 31 under ticker APMD, underpins the 99.6% market-implied probability of a closing market capitalization above $960 million. Positive Phase 3 results for lead candidate AD109, FDA NDA acceptance in mid-July, and a robust 2026 biotech IPO backdrop have driven strong institutional demand, reflected in the offering's expansion beyond initial targets near $600 million valuation. This skin-in-the-game consensus from Polymarket traders prices in sustained momentum through the August 3 closing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include unexpected regulatory delays, weaker-than-expected aftermarket trading volumes, or macroeconomic shifts raising risk aversion in healthcare equities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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