Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation, paired with confidential S-1 filing and investor expectations for an October 2026 IPO at $2 trillion or higher, underpin the 72% implied probability on the 1.8T+ bracket. Strong revenue momentum, including a $65 billion run rate and projections for $190–200 billion by 2028, supports premium multiples amid frontier AI demand. Traders see the company’s growth trajectory and market conditions favoring a closing market cap well above its private benchmark, while the modest odds on lower brackets and delayed IPO reflect limited downside scenarios given the filing progress and capital markets appetite.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1.8T+ 72%
1.5–1.8T 14.0%
1.2–1.5T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.1%
$328,395 Объем
$328,395 Объем
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
2%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
72%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
1.8T+ 72%
1.5–1.8T 14.0%
1.2–1.5T 8.8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3.1%
$328,395 Объем
$328,395 Объем
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
2%
1.2–1.5T
9%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
72%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion valuation, paired with confidential S-1 filing and investor expectations for an October 2026 IPO at $2 trillion or higher, underpin the 72% implied probability on the 1.8T+ bracket. Strong revenue momentum, including a $65 billion run rate and projections for $190–200 billion by 2028, supports premium multiples amid frontier AI demand. Traders see the company’s growth trajectory and market conditions favoring a closing market cap well above its private benchmark, while the modest odds on lower brackets and delayed IPO reflect limited downside scenarios given the filing progress and capital markets appetite.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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