Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for the IPO closing market cap, with recent investor commentary pointing to October 2026 targets above $2 trillion amid annualized revenue run-rates exceeding $30 billion. The tightly bunched market-implied probabilities—16.6% for the $1.5–1.75 trillion bin through 15.5% for $2.25–2.5 trillion—reflect uncertainty over public-market repricing relative to private multiples, competition with OpenAI's $852 billion mark, and precedents such as SpaceX's $1.77 trillion debut. Key swing factors include Q3–Q4 equity-market conditions, final share pricing, and any last-minute regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that could alter the $2 trillion-plus consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1.5–$1.75T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$329,976 Объем
$329,976 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$1.25T
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
9%
$1.5–$1.75T
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
16%
$2.25–$2.5T
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
6%
$3.0T+
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
$1.5–$1.75T 16.6%
$1.75–$2.0T 17%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.2%
$2.25–$2.5T 16%
$329,976 Объем
$329,976 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
<$1.25T
$51,737 Объем
3%
$1.25–$1.5T
$49,909 Объем
9%
$1.5–$1.75T
$47,434 Объем
17%
$1.75–$2.0T
$30,945 Объем
17%
$2.0–$2.25T
$38,495 Объем
16%
$2.25–$2.5T
$29,787 Объем
16%
$2.5–$2.75T
$23,813 Объем
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
$13,309 Объем
6%
$3.0T+
$21,921 Объем
7%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$22,624 Объем
3%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for the IPO closing market cap, with recent investor commentary pointing to October 2026 targets above $2 trillion amid annualized revenue run-rates exceeding $30 billion. The tightly bunched market-implied probabilities—16.6% for the $1.5–1.75 trillion bin through 15.5% for $2.25–2.5 trillion—reflect uncertainty over public-market repricing relative to private multiples, competition with OpenAI's $852 billion mark, and precedents such as SpaceX's $1.77 trillion debut. Key swing factors include Q3–Q4 equity-market conditions, final share pricing, and any last-minute regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that could alter the $2 trillion-plus consensus.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$329,976Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for the IPO closing market cap, with recent investor commentary pointing to October 2026 targets above $2 trillion amid annualized revenue run-rates exceeding $30 billion. The tightly bunched market-implied probabilities—16.6% for the $1.5–1.75 trillion bin through 15.5% for $2.25–2.5 trillion—reflect uncertainty over public-market repricing relative to private multiples, competition with OpenAI's $852 billion mark, and precedents such as SpaceX's $1.77 trillion debut. Key swing factors include Q3–Q4 equity-market conditions, final share pricing, and any last-minute regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that could alter the $2 trillion-plus consensus.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$329,976Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing on June 1 and its May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation anchor trader expectations for the IPO closing market cap, with recent investor commentary pointing to October 2026 targets above $2 trillion amid annualized revenue run-rates exceeding $30 billion. The tightly bunched market-implied probabilities—16.6% for the $1.5–1.75 trillion bin through 15.5% for $2.25–2.5 trillion—reflect uncertainty over public-market repricing relative to private multiples, competition with OpenAI's $852 billion mark, and precedents such as SpaceX's $1.77 trillion debut. Key swing factors include Q3–Q4 equity-market conditions, final share pricing, and any last-minute regulatory or macroeconomic shifts that could alter the $2 trillion-plus consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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