Anthropic's release of Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026—just days before the current date—represents the primary driver of trader sentiment, delivering a step-change in agentic capabilities, a 1-million-token context window, default thinking mode, and near-Fable 5 performance at Opus 4.8 pricing. This follows a compressed 2026 cadence of Opus iterations (4.6 in February, 4.7 in April, 4.8 in May), fueled by competition from OpenAI, Google, and others, alongside infrastructure gains like expanded compute via SpaceX. With deprecation timelines extending Opus 5 availability into 2027 and no announced successor, markets reflect uncertainty around whether the next major Opus will arrive in late 2026 or require longer development for another frontier leap. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or earnings updates that could signal internal timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий Клод Опус, выпущенный...?
Следующий Клод Опус, выпущенный...?
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
31 августа
9%
31 октября
55%
31 декабря
90%
$1,957 Объем
31 августа
$527 Объем
9%
31 октября
$923 Объем
55%
31 декабря
$507 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release of Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026—just days before the current date—represents the primary driver of trader sentiment, delivering a step-change in agentic capabilities, a 1-million-token context window, default thinking mode, and near-Fable 5 performance at Opus 4.8 pricing. This follows a compressed 2026 cadence of Opus iterations (4.6 in February, 4.7 in April, 4.8 in May), fueled by competition from OpenAI, Google, and others, alongside infrastructure gains like expanded compute via SpaceX. With deprecation timelines extending Opus 5 availability into 2027 and no announced successor, markets reflect uncertainty around whether the next major Opus will arrive in late 2026 or require longer development for another frontier leap. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or earnings updates that could signal internal timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Объем
$1,957Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's release of Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026—just days before the current date—represents the primary driver of trader sentiment, delivering a step-change in agentic capabilities, a 1-million-token context window, default thinking mode, and near-Fable 5 performance at Opus 4.8 pricing. This follows a compressed 2026 cadence of Opus iterations (4.6 in February, 4.7 in April, 4.8 in May), fueled by competition from OpenAI, Google, and others, alongside infrastructure gains like expanded compute via SpaceX. With deprecation timelines extending Opus 5 availability into 2027 and no announced successor, markets reflect uncertainty around whether the next major Opus will arrive in late 2026 or require longer development for another frontier leap. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or earnings updates that could signal internal timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,957Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's release of Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026—just days before the current date—represents the primary driver of trader sentiment, delivering a step-change in agentic capabilities, a 1-million-token context window, default thinking mode, and near-Fable 5 performance at Opus 4.8 pricing. This follows a compressed 2026 cadence of Opus iterations (4.6 in February, 4.7 in April, 4.8 in May), fueled by competition from OpenAI, Google, and others, alongside infrastructure gains like expanded compute via SpaceX. With deprecation timelines extending Opus 5 availability into 2027 and no announced successor, markets reflect uncertainty around whether the next major Opus will arrive in late 2026 or require longer development for another frontier leap. Key upcoming catalysts include potential developer conferences or earnings updates that could signal internal timelines.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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