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icon for Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?

Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?

icon for Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?

Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?

НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$5,668 Объем

Polymarket

30 сентября

$2,104 Объем

95%

31 декабря

$3,564 Объем

97%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent advances in AI mathematical reasoning, particularly OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series achieving perfect scores on IMO 2026 problems without assistance and strong results on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, have shaped trader views on which lab will next solve an unsolved FrontierMath problem. Google DeepMind’s Aletheia system has also produced publishable PhD-level outputs in arithmetic geometry, while Claude models reached roughly 88 percent on FrontierMath v2’s hardest tier following its June 2026 error-corrected release. Competitive dynamics center on internal scaling, reinforcement learning techniques, and access to high-quality mathematical data, with upcoming catalysts including Epoch’s ongoing benchmark expansions and potential new model releases or research announcements from leading labs that could shift implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Объем
$5,668
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent advances in AI mathematical reasoning, particularly OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 series achieving perfect scores on IMO 2026 problems without assistance and strong results on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath benchmark, have shaped trader views on which lab will next solve an unsolved FrontierMath problem. Google DeepMind’s Aletheia system has also produced publishable PhD-level outputs in arithmetic geometry, while Claude models reached roughly 88 percent on FrontierMath v2’s hardest tier following its June 2026 error-corrected release. Competitive dynamics center on internal scaling, reinforcement learning techniques, and access to high-quality mathematical data, with upcoming catalysts including Epoch’s ongoing benchmark expansions and potential new model releases or research announcements from leading labs that could shift implied probabilities.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify.

This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Объем
$5,668
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” At market issuance, Epoch AI lists “A Ramsey-style Problem on Hypergraphs” and “The 2-adic Absolute Galois Group” as solved. Additional solutions for these problems will not qualify. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

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Текущий фаворит для «Еще одна пограничная математическая задача, решенная...?» — «31 декабря» с 97%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30 сентября» с 95%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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