OpenAI’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money private valuation, backed by $122 billion in committed capital, combined with reported monthly revenue approaching $2 billion and an annualized run rate exceeding $40 billion, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap at or above $1 trillion. These fundamentals, alongside Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and sustained AI-sector demand, drive the 40.5% probability on 1.5T+ and 39.6% combined on the 1T–1.5T bands. Confidential S-1 filing and preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing further support elevated pricing, while execution risk and public-market reception explain the modest probability assigned to outcomes below $1 trillion or no IPO by end-2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,5Т+ 40.4%
1,25–1,5 трлн 22%
1–1,25 трлн 18.1%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 10.8%
$106,327 Объем
$106,327 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
1%
500–750 млрд
2%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
10%
1–1,25 трлн
18%
1,25–1,5 трлн
22%
1,5Т+
40%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
11%
1,5Т+ 40.4%
1,25–1,5 трлн 22%
1–1,25 трлн 18.1%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года 10.8%
$106,327 Объем
$106,327 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500 млрд
$8,050 Объем
1%
500–750 млрд
$9,889 Объем
2%
750 млрд – 1 трлн
$10,925 Объем
10%
1–1,25 трлн
$15,107 Объем
18%
1,25–1,5 трлн
$10,359 Объем
22%
1,5Т+
$27,961 Объем
40%
Без IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года
$24,036 Объем
11%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money private valuation, backed by $122 billion in committed capital, combined with reported monthly revenue approaching $2 billion and an annualized run rate exceeding $40 billion, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap at or above $1 trillion. These fundamentals, alongside Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and sustained AI-sector demand, drive the 40.5% probability on 1.5T+ and 39.6% combined on the 1T–1.5T bands. Confidential S-1 filing and preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing further support elevated pricing, while execution risk and public-market reception explain the modest probability assigned to outcomes below $1 trillion or no IPO by end-2027.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Объем
$106,327Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money private valuation, backed by $122 billion in committed capital, combined with reported monthly revenue approaching $2 billion and an annualized run rate exceeding $40 billion, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap at or above $1 trillion. These fundamentals, alongside Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and sustained AI-sector demand, drive the 40.5% probability on 1.5T+ and 39.6% combined on the 1T–1.5T bands. Confidential S-1 filing and preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing further support elevated pricing, while execution risk and public-market reception explain the modest probability assigned to outcomes below $1 trillion or no IPO by end-2027.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$106,327Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s March 2026 $852 billion post-money private valuation, backed by $122 billion in committed capital, combined with reported monthly revenue approaching $2 billion and an annualized run rate exceeding $40 billion, anchors trader expectations for an IPO market cap at or above $1 trillion. These fundamentals, alongside Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and sustained AI-sector demand, drive the 40.5% probability on 1.5T+ and 39.6% combined on the 1T–1.5T bands. Confidential S-1 filing and preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 listing further support elevated pricing, while execution risk and public-market reception explain the modest probability assigned to outcomes below $1 trillion or no IPO by end-2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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