OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion March private valuation set the baseline for an IPO targeting $1 trillion or higher, driven by rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate and enterprise adoption above 40 percent of sales. Persistent operating losses projected near $14 billion in 2026 and breakeven only after 2029 reflect heavy compute spending and competitive pressure from Anthropic, whose higher private mark underscores valuation sensitivity. Recent C-suite departures add execution risk ahead of potential Q4 2026 or 2027 pricing, where market-implied odds will hinge on sustained growth metrics, regulatory clearance, and broader tech multiples rather than historical precedent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,519,355 Объем
$1,519,355 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
$800 млрд
86%
$1 трлн
76%
$1,2 трлн
61%
$1,4 трлн
44%
$1,6 трлн
42%
$1,519,355 Объем
$1,519,355 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
$800 млрд
$107,410 Объем
86%
$1 трлн
$1,046,738 Объем
76%
$1,2 трлн
$248,684 Объем
61%
$1,4 трлн
$67,569 Объем
44%
$1,6 трлн
$48,953 Объем
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion March private valuation set the baseline for an IPO targeting $1 trillion or higher, driven by rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate and enterprise adoption above 40 percent of sales. Persistent operating losses projected near $14 billion in 2026 and breakeven only after 2029 reflect heavy compute spending and competitive pressure from Anthropic, whose higher private mark underscores valuation sensitivity. Recent C-suite departures add execution risk ahead of potential Q4 2026 or 2027 pricing, where market-implied odds will hinge on sustained growth metrics, regulatory clearance, and broader tech multiples rather than historical precedent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Объем
$1,519,355Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion March private valuation set the baseline for an IPO targeting $1 trillion or higher, driven by rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate and enterprise adoption above 40 percent of sales. Persistent operating losses projected near $14 billion in 2026 and breakeven only after 2029 reflect heavy compute spending and competitive pressure from Anthropic, whose higher private mark underscores valuation sensitivity. Recent C-suite departures add execution risk ahead of potential Q4 2026 or 2027 pricing, where market-implied odds will hinge on sustained growth metrics, regulatory clearance, and broader tech multiples rather than historical precedent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Объем
$1,519,355Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and $852 billion March private valuation set the baseline for an IPO targeting $1 trillion or higher, driven by rapid revenue expansion to a roughly $24 billion annualized run rate and enterprise adoption above 40 percent of sales. Persistent operating losses projected near $14 billion in 2026 and breakeven only after 2029 reflect heavy compute spending and competitive pressure from Anthropic, whose higher private mark underscores valuation sensitivity. Recent C-suite departures add execution risk ahead of potential Q4 2026 or 2027 pricing, where market-implied odds will hinge on sustained growth metrics, regulatory clearance, and broader tech multiples rather than historical precedent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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