Anthropic's Claude models, particularly claude-fable-5 and Opus 5 variants, currently lead the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with top Elo scores around 1529, reflecting superior performance on complex reasoning tasks. This positioning stems from recent advances in chain-of-thought reasoning and autonomous multi-agent workflows, highlighted by the company's September 2026 formalization of Fermat’s Last Theorem in Lean and prior progress on the Riemann hypothesis. These capabilities outpace OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini entries in the math category. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders assign Anthropic an implied 79% probability, viewing its edge in demonstrated mathematical benchmarks as durable despite potential late model releases from competitors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo Text Arena Math AI no final de setembro?
Anthropic 79%
OpenAI 16%
Google 2.3%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,305 Vol.
$56,305 Vol.

Anthropic
79%

OpenAI
16%

2%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Meta
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 79%
OpenAI 16%
Google 2.3%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,305 Vol.
$56,305 Vol.

Anthropic
79%

OpenAI
16%

2%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Meta
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Fonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude models, particularly claude-fable-5 and Opus 5 variants, currently lead the arena.ai Text Arena Math leaderboard with top Elo scores around 1529, reflecting superior performance on complex reasoning tasks. This positioning stems from recent advances in chain-of-thought reasoning and autonomous multi-agent workflows, highlighted by the company's September 2026 formalization of Fermat’s Last Theorem in Lean and prior progress on the Riemann hypothesis. These capabilities outpace OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini entries in the math category. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders assign Anthropic an implied 79% probability, viewing its edge in demonstrated mathematical benchmarks as durable despite potential late model releases from competitors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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