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Altman previsões e probabilidades

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Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

6%

$963K Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

69

Ends em 7 meses

Sam Altman in jail by...?

Sam Altman in jail by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$44.7K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

7

Ends há 5 meses

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

3%

$28.4K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

9%

$5.0K Vol.

$569 Liq.

Ends em 23 dias

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

43%

Shehbaz Sharif

$964 Vol.

$226K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

13%

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$696K Vol.

$14.9K Liq.

20

Ends em 7 meses

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

2%

$144K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

7

Ends em 7 meses

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

eternal premium

$725 Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

eternal premium

$17.1K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 1 mês

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX Academy vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX Academy vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage

100%

Wingman

$2.2K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Wingman

$1.2K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?

7%

Anthropic

$4.7K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

aimclub

$2.4K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

71%

$594K Vol.

$30.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

94%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$6.4K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

ITF Doboj: Gilberto Ravasio vs John Hallquist Lithen

ITF Doboj: Gilberto Ravasio vs John Hallquist Lithen

100%

John Hallquist Lithen

$1.1K Vol.

$18 Liq.

Ends há 10 dias

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Nebula In Chaox (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Nebula In Chaox (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Nebula In Chaox

$23.6K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Wave Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

Counter-Strike: Wingman vs Wave Esports (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage

100%

Wingman

$3.5K Vol.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marc Polmans

Libema Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Marc Polmans

83%

Benjamin Bonzi

$5.1K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Altman.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Altman that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which CEOs will be out before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 94% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Altman predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.