Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
Próximo Claude Opus lançado por...?
$145,480 Vol.
17 set 2026
17 de setembro
1%
20 de setembro
8%
24 de setembro
62%
27 de setembro
75%
30 de setembro
81%
31 de outubro
98%
31 de dezembro
98%
$145,480 Vol.
17 de setembro
$8,875 Vol.
1%
20 de setembro
$4,382 Vol.
8%
24 de setembro
$3,712 Vol.
62%
27 de setembro
$2,865 Vol.
75%
30 de setembro
$65,483 Vol.
81%
31 de outubro
$13,502 Vol.
98%
31 de dezembro
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$145,480Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$145,480Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders are pricing a high likelihood of the next Claude Opus release by late September 2026, driven by Anthropic’s accelerated cadence—Opus 5 launched July 24, 2026, just weeks after Sonnet 5 and amid the Fable 5 / Mythos 5 series. The September 1 release of Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, plus credible routing rumors pointing to September 17–18 or month-end, have reinforced expectations of an Opus 5.2 or incremental upgrade focused on coding, agentic workflows, and efficiency gains over Fable 5 at lower cost. This aligns with Anthropic’s pattern of frequent Opus tier refreshes (every 4–8 weeks recently) to stay competitive in large language model benchmarks and enterprise agent capabilities, though exact timing remains subject to safety reviews and internal testing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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