**Musk's brief endorsement of Dario Amodei's September 12 "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay—posting only "Dario is right"—has not translated into signing the original July 2026 employee statement at pacingthefrontier.com.** That statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta, urges U.S. government support for international tools to coordinate and potentially slow automated AI research amid risks of uncontrolled capability acceleration. Musk and xAI have stayed outside the formal signatory list despite the July launch and Amodei's later unilateral commitments on embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline now just two weeks away and no subsequent Musk confirmation or listing on the site, traders view formal signature as unlikely given xAI's emphasis on rapid frontier progress and Musk's historical resistance to coordinated slowdown mechanisms. Key near-term catalysts include any direct X post or statement from Musk, though current sentiment reflects sustained non-participation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoElon Musk assina a declaração Pacing the Frontier até 30 de setembro?
Elon Musk assina a declaração Pacing the Frontier até 30 de setembro?
Sim
11% chance
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
Sim
11% chance
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Musk's brief endorsement of Dario Amodei's September 12 "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay—posting only "Dario is right"—has not translated into signing the original July 2026 employee statement at pacingthefrontier.com.** That statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta, urges U.S. government support for international tools to coordinate and potentially slow automated AI research amid risks of uncontrolled capability acceleration. Musk and xAI have stayed outside the formal signatory list despite the July launch and Amodei's later unilateral commitments on embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline now just two weeks away and no subsequent Musk confirmation or listing on the site, traders view formal signature as unlikely given xAI's emphasis on rapid frontier progress and Musk's historical resistance to coordinated slowdown mechanisms. Key near-term catalysts include any direct X post or statement from Musk, though current sentiment reflects sustained non-participation.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$4,533Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Musk's brief endorsement of Dario Amodei's September 12 "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay—posting only "Dario is right"—has not translated into signing the original July 2026 employee statement at pacingthefrontier.com.** That statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta, urges U.S. government support for international tools to coordinate and potentially slow automated AI research amid risks of uncontrolled capability acceleration. Musk and xAI have stayed outside the formal signatory list despite the July launch and Amodei's later unilateral commitments on embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline now just two weeks away and no subsequent Musk confirmation or listing on the site, traders view formal signature as unlikely given xAI's emphasis on rapid frontier progress and Musk's historical resistance to coordinated slowdown mechanisms. Key near-term catalysts include any direct X post or statement from Musk, though current sentiment reflects sustained non-participation.
In July 2026, employees of frontier AI companies published the "Pacing the Frontier" statement at pacingthefrontier.com, calling on the US government to support an international effort to develop tools to pace the frontier of automated AI development. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is listed as a signatory of the statement at pacingthefrontier.com, or publicly confirms through official channels that he has signed it, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying listing must identify Elon Musk by name together with his role at SpaceXAI, or otherwise make clear that the signatory is the CEO of SpaceXAI. Once Elon Musk is listed or confirms signing, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether his name is later removed or the statement is later amended.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the signatory list at pacingthefrontier.com; however, official statements from Elon Musk or SpaceXAI and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,533Data de Término
1 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Musk's brief endorsement of Dario Amodei's September 12 "We Must Pace the Frontier" essay—posting only "Dario is right"—has not translated into signing the original July 2026 employee statement at pacingthefrontier.com.** That statement, backed by over 1,300 staff from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, and Meta, urges U.S. government support for international tools to coordinate and potentially slow automated AI research amid risks of uncontrolled capability acceleration. Musk and xAI have stayed outside the formal signatory list despite the July launch and Amodei's later unilateral commitments on embedded evaluators. With the September 30 deadline now just two weeks away and no subsequent Musk confirmation or listing on the site, traders view formal signature as unlikely given xAI's emphasis on rapid frontier progress and Musk's historical resistance to coordinated slowdown mechanisms. Key near-term catalysts include any direct X post or statement from Musk, though current sentiment reflects sustained non-participation.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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