MiniMax holds a modest edge in trader sentiment for the best image-to-video model by end of October, driven by its H3 and post-trained H3 Max releases that recently topped Artificial Analysis and Design Arena I2V leaderboards with strong prompt adherence, motion realism, and generation speed. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants remain close contenders on subject consistency and multi-reference support, while Kling 3.0, Google’s Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni, Runway Gen-4.5, Luma, and Pika each lead in specific areas such as character stability, native audio, or creative controls. The tight clustering around 50% implied probability reflects rapid iteration across labs, subjective evaluation criteria, and the potential for new updates or benchmark shifts to alter the ranking before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem a melhor IA Image-to-Video no final de outubro?
Qual empresa tem a melhor IA Image-to-Video no final de outubro?
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 25%
Lightricks 12%
Black Forest Labs 4%
SpaceXAI 4%
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
25%
Lightricks
12%
Black Forest Labs
15%
SpaceXAI
22%
ByteDance
25%
Runway
2%
Pixverse
19%
Shengshu
22%
KlingAI
1%
Luma AI
26%
Tencent
24%
Pika
25%
Pruna
25%
29%
MiniMax
29%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 25%
Lightricks 12%
Black Forest Labs 4%
SpaceXAI 4%
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$55 Vol.
25%
Lightricks
$81 Vol.
12%
Black Forest Labs
$74 Vol.
15%
SpaceXAI
$41 Vol.
22%
ByteDance
$54 Vol.
25%
Runway
$165 Vol.
2%
Pixverse
$51 Vol.
19%
Shengshu
$59 Vol.
22%
KlingAI
$64 Vol.
1%
Luma AI
$37 Vol.
26%
Tencent
$75 Vol.
24%
Pika
$37 Vol.
25%
Pruna
$51 Vol.
25%
$37 Vol.
29%
MiniMax
$88 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".MiniMax holds a modest edge in trader sentiment for the best image-to-video model by end of October, driven by its H3 and post-trained H3 Max releases that recently topped Artificial Analysis and Design Arena I2V leaderboards with strong prompt adherence, motion realism, and generation speed. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants remain close contenders on subject consistency and multi-reference support, while Kling 3.0, Google’s Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni, Runway Gen-4.5, Luma, and Pika each lead in specific areas such as character stability, native audio, or creative controls. The tight clustering around 50% implied probability reflects rapid iteration across labs, subjective evaluation criteria, and the potential for new updates or benchmark shifts to alter the ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Volume
$968Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".MiniMax holds a modest edge in trader sentiment for the best image-to-video model by end of October, driven by its H3 and post-trained H3 Max releases that recently topped Artificial Analysis and Design Arena I2V leaderboards with strong prompt adherence, motion realism, and generation speed. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants remain close contenders on subject consistency and multi-reference support, while Kling 3.0, Google’s Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni, Runway Gen-4.5, Luma, and Pika each lead in specific areas such as character stability, native audio, or creative controls. The tight clustering around 50% implied probability reflects rapid iteration across labs, subjective evaluation criteria, and the potential for new updates or benchmark shifts to alter the ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$968Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MiniMax holds a modest edge in trader sentiment for the best image-to-video model by end of October, driven by its H3 and post-trained H3 Max releases that recently topped Artificial Analysis and Design Arena I2V leaderboards with strong prompt adherence, motion realism, and generation speed. ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0/2.5 variants remain close contenders on subject consistency and multi-reference support, while Kling 3.0, Google’s Veo 3.1/Gemini Omni, Runway Gen-4.5, Luma, and Pika each lead in specific areas such as character stability, native audio, or creative controls. The tight clustering around 50% implied probability reflects rapid iteration across labs, subjective evaluation criteria, and the potential for new updates or benchmark shifts to alter the ranking before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions