OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March $852 billion post-money private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 debut near or above $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum—approximately $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise comprising over 40 percent—supports the 40.5 percent probability assigned to a 1.5T+ closing market cap, while CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and concerns over ongoing losses explain the 21.5 percent and 18.1 percent odds clustered in the 1T–1.5T range. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on AI growth outpacing profitability risks, tempered by the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key upcoming catalysts include any public prospectus updates and broader IPO-market conditions that could shift the path from private benchmarks to public trading levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1,5T+ 40.4%
1,25T–1,5T 21%
1T–1,25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$105,182 Vol.
$105,182 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
2%
750B–1T
10%
1T–1,25T
18%
1,25T–1,5T
21%
1,5T+
40%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
9%
1,5T+ 40.4%
1,25T–1,5T 21%
1T–1,25T 18.1%
750B–1T 10%
$105,182 Vol.
$105,182 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<500B
$8,050 Vol.
1%
500–750B
$9,889 Vol.
2%
750B–1T
$10,925 Vol.
10%
1T–1,25T
$15,107 Vol.
18%
1,25T–1,5T
$10,346 Vol.
21%
1,5T+
$27,961 Vol.
40%
Sem IPO até 31 de dezembro de 2027
$22,904 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March $852 billion post-money private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 debut near or above $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum—approximately $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise comprising over 40 percent—supports the 40.5 percent probability assigned to a 1.5T+ closing market cap, while CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and concerns over ongoing losses explain the 21.5 percent and 18.1 percent odds clustered in the 1T–1.5T range. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on AI growth outpacing profitability risks, tempered by the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key upcoming catalysts include any public prospectus updates and broader IPO-market conditions that could shift the path from private benchmarks to public trading levels.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$105,182Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March $852 billion post-money private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 debut near or above $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum—approximately $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise comprising over 40 percent—supports the 40.5 percent probability assigned to a 1.5T+ closing market cap, while CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and concerns over ongoing losses explain the 21.5 percent and 18.1 percent odds clustered in the 1T–1.5T range. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on AI growth outpacing profitability risks, tempered by the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key upcoming catalysts include any public prospectus updates and broader IPO-market conditions that could shift the path from private benchmarks to public trading levels.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$105,182Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in mid-2026 and its March $852 billion post-money private valuation anchor trader expectations for a 2027 debut near or above $1 trillion. Strong revenue momentum—approximately $2 billion monthly run rate with enterprise comprising over 40 percent—supports the 40.5 percent probability assigned to a 1.5T+ closing market cap, while CEO Sam Altman’s reported insistence on a $1 trillion floor and concerns over ongoing losses explain the 21.5 percent and 18.1 percent odds clustered in the 1T–1.5T range. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus on AI growth outpacing profitability risks, tempered by the low 9.5 percent chance of no IPO by end-2027. Key upcoming catalysts include any public prospectus updates and broader IPO-market conditions that could shift the path from private benchmarks to public trading levels.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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