Investor expectations for a $2 trillion-plus October 2026 IPO are anchoring the 70.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Anthropic’s rapid private valuation climb—from $380 billion post-money in February to $965 billion after the $65 billion Series H round in May—reflects surging demand for its Claude large language model amid reported $47 billion run-rate revenue. The June confidential S-1 filing and July investor meetings have reinforced momentum, with secondary trading already implying values above $1 trillion. Traders view the AI sector’s capital intensity, Anthropic’s competitive edge versus OpenAI, and favorable public-market comparables such as SpaceX as supporting a premium listing, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risk remain key variables ahead of any Nasdaq debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado1.8T+ 71%
1.5–1.8T 15.1%
1.2–1.5T 8.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.0%
$331,817 Vol.
$331,817 Vol.
30 dez 2027
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
2%
0.9–1.2T
2%
1.2–1.5T
8%
1.5–1.8T
15%
1.8T+
71%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
4%
1.8T+ 71%
1.5–1.8T 15.1%
1.2–1.5T 8.0%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 4.0%
$331,817 Vol.
$331,817 Vol.
30 dez 2027
<0.6T
$17,670 Vol.
1%
0.6–0.9T
$23,300 Vol.
2%
0.9–1.2T
$22,313 Vol.
2%
1.2–1.5T
$30,126 Vol.
8%
1.5–1.8T
$32,276 Vol.
15%
1.8T+
$160,215 Vol.
71%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$45,917 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Investor expectations for a $2 trillion-plus October 2026 IPO are anchoring the 70.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Anthropic’s rapid private valuation climb—from $380 billion post-money in February to $965 billion after the $65 billion Series H round in May—reflects surging demand for its Claude large language model amid reported $47 billion run-rate revenue. The June confidential S-1 filing and July investor meetings have reinforced momentum, with secondary trading already implying values above $1 trillion. Traders view the AI sector’s capital intensity, Anthropic’s competitive edge versus OpenAI, and favorable public-market comparables such as SpaceX as supporting a premium listing, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risk remain key variables ahead of any Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$331,817Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Investor expectations for a $2 trillion-plus October 2026 IPO are anchoring the 70.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Anthropic’s rapid private valuation climb—from $380 billion post-money in February to $965 billion after the $65 billion Series H round in May—reflects surging demand for its Claude large language model amid reported $47 billion run-rate revenue. The June confidential S-1 filing and July investor meetings have reinforced momentum, with secondary trading already implying values above $1 trillion. Traders view the AI sector’s capital intensity, Anthropic’s competitive edge versus OpenAI, and favorable public-market comparables such as SpaceX as supporting a premium listing, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risk remain key variables ahead of any Nasdaq debut.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$331,817Data de Término
31 dez 2027Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Investor expectations for a $2 trillion-plus October 2026 IPO are anchoring the 70.5% implied probability on a closing market cap above $1.8 trillion. Anthropic’s rapid private valuation climb—from $380 billion post-money in February to $965 billion after the $65 billion Series H round in May—reflects surging demand for its Claude large language model amid reported $47 billion run-rate revenue. The June confidential S-1 filing and July investor meetings have reinforced momentum, with secondary trading already implying values above $1 trillion. Traders view the AI sector’s capital intensity, Anthropic’s competitive edge versus OpenAI, and favorable public-market comparables such as SpaceX as supporting a premium listing, though regulatory scrutiny and execution risk remain key variables ahead of any Nasdaq debut.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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