Amazon’s current market capitalization hovers near $2.9–3.06 trillion following its August 2026 cross above $3 trillion, fueled by Q2 earnings that highlighted accelerating AWS revenue growth and AI-related demand. With end-2026 resolution only months away, trader sentiment clusters around the $2.5–3.5 trillion brackets because sustained cloud momentum, analyst price targets near $325, and margin expansion from logistics efficiencies compete against elevated valuations, ongoing AI capital expenditures, retail competition, and broader macroeconomic uncertainty around consumer spending and rates. These closely matched probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game uncertainty over whether recent gains extend or moderate before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS$3,00-US$3,50T 33%
US$ 3,50-US$ 4,00 trilhões 28%
<US$2,00T 25%
US$ 2,00-2,50T 25%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
<US$2,00T
25%
US$ 2,00-2,50T
25%
US$ 2,50–3,00T
32%
US$3,00-US$3,50T
33%
US$ 3,50-US$ 4,00 trilhões
28%
US$ 4,00–4,50T
22%
US$ 4,50T+
22%
US$3,00-US$3,50T 33%
US$ 3,50-US$ 4,00 trilhões 28%
<US$2,00T 25%
US$ 2,00-2,50T 25%
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
<US$2,00T
$0 Vol.
25%
US$ 2,00-2,50T
$0 Vol.
25%
US$ 2,50–3,00T
$233 Vol.
32%
US$3,00-US$3,50T
$0 Vol.
33%
US$ 3,50-US$ 4,00 trilhões
$0 Vol.
28%
US$ 4,00–4,50T
$0 Vol.
22%
US$ 4,50T+
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s current market capitalization hovers near $2.9–3.06 trillion following its August 2026 cross above $3 trillion, fueled by Q2 earnings that highlighted accelerating AWS revenue growth and AI-related demand. With end-2026 resolution only months away, trader sentiment clusters around the $2.5–3.5 trillion brackets because sustained cloud momentum, analyst price targets near $325, and margin expansion from logistics efficiencies compete against elevated valuations, ongoing AI capital expenditures, retail competition, and broader macroeconomic uncertainty around consumer spending and rates. These closely matched probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game uncertainty over whether recent gains extend or moderate before year-end.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$233Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Amazon’s current market capitalization hovers near $2.9–3.06 trillion following its August 2026 cross above $3 trillion, fueled by Q2 earnings that highlighted accelerating AWS revenue growth and AI-related demand. With end-2026 resolution only months away, trader sentiment clusters around the $2.5–3.5 trillion brackets because sustained cloud momentum, analyst price targets near $325, and margin expansion from logistics efficiencies compete against elevated valuations, ongoing AI capital expenditures, retail competition, and broader macroeconomic uncertainty around consumer spending and rates. These closely matched probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game uncertainty over whether recent gains extend or moderate before year-end.
This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$233Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amazon’s current market capitalization hovers near $2.9–3.06 trillion following its August 2026 cross above $3 trillion, fueled by Q2 earnings that highlighted accelerating AWS revenue growth and AI-related demand. With end-2026 resolution only months away, trader sentiment clusters around the $2.5–3.5 trillion brackets because sustained cloud momentum, analyst price targets near $325, and margin expansion from logistics efficiencies compete against elevated valuations, ongoing AI capital expenditures, retail competition, and broader macroeconomic uncertainty around consumer spending and rates. These closely matched probabilities reflect skin-in-the-game uncertainty over whether recent gains extend or moderate before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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