Anthropic’s Claude services have shown recurring infrastructure strain from surging demand, with multiple short incidents of elevated errors and degraded performance on models like Opus and Sonnet throughout July 2026, including July 27–31 events affecting claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code. These capacity-driven outages align with patterns seen earlier in the year and support trader consensus around 8–10 downtime days in August as the most probable range, given the 99%+ 90-day uptime figures that still mask frequent brief disruptions. No major new releases or regulatory shifts have altered the near-term outlook, though rapid user growth continues to pressure stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoClaude vai descer em __ dias em agosto?
Claude vai descer em __ dias em agosto?
8-10 41%
11-13 28%
14+ 20%
5-7 18%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
<5
6%
5-7
18%
8-10
41%
11-13
28%
14+
20%
8-10 41%
11-13 28%
14+ 20%
5-7 18%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
<5
$410 Vol.
6%
5-7
$48 Vol.
18%
8-10
$0 Vol.
41%
11-13
$0 Vol.
28%
14+
$153 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic’s Claude services have shown recurring infrastructure strain from surging demand, with multiple short incidents of elevated errors and degraded performance on models like Opus and Sonnet throughout July 2026, including July 27–31 events affecting claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code. These capacity-driven outages align with patterns seen earlier in the year and support trader consensus around 8–10 downtime days in August as the most probable range, given the 99%+ 90-day uptime figures that still mask frequent brief disruptions. No major new releases or regulatory shifts have altered the near-term outlook, though rapid user growth continues to pressure stability.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercado Aberto: Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$612Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic’s Claude services have shown recurring infrastructure strain from surging demand, with multiple short incidents of elevated errors and degraded performance on models like Opus and Sonnet throughout July 2026, including July 27–31 events affecting claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code. These capacity-driven outages align with patterns seen earlier in the year and support trader consensus around 8–10 downtime days in August as the most probable range, given the 99%+ 90-day uptime figures that still mask frequent brief disruptions. No major new releases or regulatory shifts have altered the near-term outlook, though rapid user growth continues to pressure stability.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volume
$612Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude services have shown recurring infrastructure strain from surging demand, with multiple short incidents of elevated errors and degraded performance on models like Opus and Sonnet throughout July 2026, including July 27–31 events affecting claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code. These capacity-driven outages align with patterns seen earlier in the year and support trader consensus around 8–10 downtime days in August as the most probable range, given the 99%+ 90-day uptime figures that still mask frequent brief disruptions. No major new releases or regulatory shifts have altered the near-term outlook, though rapid user growth continues to pressure stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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