Traders assign claude-fable-5.1-max the clearest lead at 61.5% implied probability for the top AI model slot on September 14, driven by Anthropic’s recent large language model updates that delivered measurable gains in reasoning benchmarks and multimodal performance. These improvements have strengthened its competitive edge against offerings from OpenAI and Google in head-to-head evaluations. The 28.5% for “Other” leaves room for an unlisted contender or last-minute release to surprise, while the sub-3% odds on claude-opus-5 variants signal limited trader belief in those specific configurations prevailing. With resolution days away, any new capability demonstrations or benchmark results could still alter the market-implied odds before September 14.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMelhor modelo de IA em 14 de setembro?
Melhor modelo de IA em 14 de setembro?
claude-fable-5.1-max 62%
Outro 28%
claude-opus-5-max 2.1%
claude-opus-5-high 1.8%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
claude-fable-5.1-max
62%
Outro
28%
claude-opus-5-max
2%
claude-opus-5-high
2%
claude-opus-4-6-high
<1%
claude-fable-5.1-max 62%
Outro 28%
claude-opus-5-max 2.1%
claude-opus-5-high 1.8%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
claude-fable-5.1-max
$3,398 Vol.
62%
Outro
$2,870 Vol.
28%
claude-opus-5-max
$111 Vol.
2%
claude-opus-5-high
$130 Vol.
2%
claude-opus-4-6-high
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign claude-fable-5.1-max the clearest lead at 61.5% implied probability for the top AI model slot on September 14, driven by Anthropic’s recent large language model updates that delivered measurable gains in reasoning benchmarks and multimodal performance. These improvements have strengthened its competitive edge against offerings from OpenAI and Google in head-to-head evaluations. The 28.5% for “Other” leaves room for an unlisted contender or last-minute release to surprise, while the sub-3% odds on claude-opus-5 variants signal limited trader belief in those specific configurations prevailing. With resolution days away, any new capability demonstrations or benchmark results could still alter the market-implied odds before September 14.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Volume
$6,754Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign claude-fable-5.1-max the clearest lead at 61.5% implied probability for the top AI model slot on September 14, driven by Anthropic’s recent large language model updates that delivered measurable gains in reasoning benchmarks and multimodal performance. These improvements have strengthened its competitive edge against offerings from OpenAI and Google in head-to-head evaluations. The 28.5% for “Other” leaves room for an unlisted contender or last-minute release to surprise, while the sub-3% odds on claude-opus-5 variants signal limited trader belief in those specific configurations prevailing. With resolution days away, any new capability demonstrations or benchmark results could still alter the market-implied odds before September 14.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-high” and “-max”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-5-high” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-5-max”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,754Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 10:16 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign claude-fable-5.1-max the clearest lead at 61.5% implied probability for the top AI model slot on September 14, driven by Anthropic’s recent large language model updates that delivered measurable gains in reasoning benchmarks and multimodal performance. These improvements have strengthened its competitive edge against offerings from OpenAI and Google in head-to-head evaluations. The 28.5% for “Other” leaves room for an unlisted contender or last-minute release to surprise, while the sub-3% odds on claude-opus-5 variants signal limited trader belief in those specific configurations prevailing. With resolution days away, any new capability demonstrations or benchmark results could still alter the market-implied odds before September 14.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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