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icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canadá

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canadá

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 41%

Patrick Paquet 38%

Stéphanie Martin 1.2%

Charles Hudon <1%

Polymarket

$11,133 Vol.

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 41%

Patrick Paquet 38%

Stéphanie Martin 1.2%

Charles Hudon <1%

Polymarket

$11,133 Vol.

icon for Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

$1,155 Vol.

41%

icon for Patrick Paquet

Patrick Paquet

$8,038 Vol.

34%

icon for Stéphanie Martin

Stéphanie Martin

$1,058 Vol.

1%

icon for Charles Hudon

Charles Hudon

$883 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the open-seat Vanier-Les Rivières riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight multi-candidate contest among CAQ nominee Françoise Faverjon-Fortin, PCQ candidate Patrick Paquet, PQ nominee Stéphanie Martin, and PLQ contender Charles Hudon. Recent projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the top three parties within a few points in the mid-20s to low-30s range, driven by the incumbent CAQ MNA’s retirement, regional strength for the Conservatives in Quebec City ridings, and a broader provincial rebound for the Parti Québécois. Local candidate profiles—Paquet’s municipal experience, Faverjon-Fortin’s business background, Martin’s journalism profile, and Hudon’s policing career—have kept the race competitive without a clear frontrunner. The September 17 nomination deadline and advance polls could clarify voter preferences on issues such as fiscal policy and regional governance before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$11,133
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the open-seat Vanier-Les Rivières riding ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight multi-candidate contest among CAQ nominee Françoise Faverjon-Fortin, PCQ candidate Patrick Paquet, PQ nominee Stéphanie Martin, and PLQ contender Charles Hudon. Recent projections from aggregators such as 338Canada and Qc125 place the top three parties within a few points in the mid-20s to low-30s range, driven by the incumbent CAQ MNA’s retirement, regional strength for the Conservatives in Quebec City ridings, and a broader provincial rebound for the Parti Québécois. Local candidate profiles—Paquet’s municipal experience, Faverjon-Fortin’s business background, Martin’s journalism profile, and Hudon’s policing career—have kept the race competitive without a clear frontrunner. The September 17 nomination deadline and advance polls could clarify voter preferences on issues such as fiscal policy and regional governance before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$11,133
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" at 41%, followed by "Patrick Paquet" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" has generated $11.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrick Paquet" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.