Recent polling from institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and PoderData has held Renan Santos (Missão) in the 3-4% range nationally in the weeks leading to the October 4 first round, reflecting limited name recognition outside younger demographics and competition from other third-way contenders like Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado. His candidacy registration was unanimously validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief suspension over social media disclosures, restoring access to public funds and full campaign activities. Trader consensus across the vote-share buckets remains closely divided, with the 4-6% interval edging ahead, as online mobilization among Generation Z voters and any late shifts in turnout or media exposure could still alter final results before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado4-6% 33%
<2% 23%
2-4% 22%
8%+ 21%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
<2%
23%
2-4%
22%
4-6%
33%
6-8%
14%
8%+
21%
4-6% 33%
<2% 23%
2-4% 22%
8%+ 21%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
<2%
$37 Vol.
23%
2-4%
$341 Vol.
22%
4-6%
$100 Vol.
33%
6-8%
$37 Vol.
14%
8%+
$142 Vol.
21%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and PoderData has held Renan Santos (Missão) in the 3-4% range nationally in the weeks leading to the October 4 first round, reflecting limited name recognition outside younger demographics and competition from other third-way contenders like Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado. His candidacy registration was unanimously validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief suspension over social media disclosures, restoring access to public funds and full campaign activities. Trader consensus across the vote-share buckets remains closely divided, with the 4-6% interval edging ahead, as online mobilization among Generation Z voters and any late shifts in turnout or media exposure could still alter final results before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET
Volume
$657Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling from institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and PoderData has held Renan Santos (Missão) in the 3-4% range nationally in the weeks leading to the October 4 first round, reflecting limited name recognition outside younger demographics and competition from other third-way contenders like Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado. His candidacy registration was unanimously validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief suspension over social media disclosures, restoring access to public funds and full campaign activities. Trader consensus across the vote-share buckets remains closely divided, with the 4-6% interval edging ahead, as online mobilization among Generation Z voters and any late shifts in turnout or media exposure could still alter final results before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$657Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes such as Datafolha, Quaest, and PoderData has held Renan Santos (Missão) in the 3-4% range nationally in the weeks leading to the October 4 first round, reflecting limited name recognition outside younger demographics and competition from other third-way contenders like Augusto Cury and Ronaldo Caiado. His candidacy registration was unanimously validated by the TSE on September 10 after a brief suspension over social media disclosures, restoring access to public funds and full campaign activities. Trader consensus across the vote-share buckets remains closely divided, with the 4-6% interval edging ahead, as online mobilization among Generation Z voters and any late shifts in turnout or media exposure could still alter final results before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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