**Ukraine’s constitutional commitment to NATO membership remains unchanged, with President Zelenskyy actively reaffirming the goal at the July 2026 Ankara Summit while NATO Allies reiterated an “irreversible path” to full integration and pledged €70 billion in aid for 2026.** No formal agreement limiting or suspending accession has emerged despite earlier 2025 signals during peace talks that Kyiv might accept neutrality in exchange for security guarantees. Ongoing interoperability improvements, reform progress, and the removal of the Membership Action Plan requirement have instead kept accession as a one-step process once Allies unanimously agree conditions are met. Recent statements from Ukrainian officials and NATO communiqués continue to tie long-term security to eventual membership rather than permanent non-alignment, sustaining trader consensus that no binding commitment to forgo joining before 2027 will occur.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
9% chance
$134,460 Vol.
$134,460 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
9% chance
$134,460 Vol.
$134,460 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.**Ukraine’s constitutional commitment to NATO membership remains unchanged, with President Zelenskyy actively reaffirming the goal at the July 2026 Ankara Summit while NATO Allies reiterated an “irreversible path” to full integration and pledged €70 billion in aid for 2026.** No formal agreement limiting or suspending accession has emerged despite earlier 2025 signals during peace talks that Kyiv might accept neutrality in exchange for security guarantees. Ongoing interoperability improvements, reform progress, and the removal of the Membership Action Plan requirement have instead kept accession as a one-step process once Allies unanimously agree conditions are met. Recent statements from Ukrainian officials and NATO communiqués continue to tie long-term security to eventual membership rather than permanent non-alignment, sustaining trader consensus that no binding commitment to forgo joining before 2027 will occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ET
Volume
$134,460Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.**Ukraine’s constitutional commitment to NATO membership remains unchanged, with President Zelenskyy actively reaffirming the goal at the July 2026 Ankara Summit while NATO Allies reiterated an “irreversible path” to full integration and pledged €70 billion in aid for 2026.** No formal agreement limiting or suspending accession has emerged despite earlier 2025 signals during peace talks that Kyiv might accept neutrality in exchange for security guarantees. Ongoing interoperability improvements, reform progress, and the removal of the Membership Action Plan requirement have instead kept accession as a one-step process once Allies unanimously agree conditions are met. Recent statements from Ukrainian officials and NATO communiqués continue to tie long-term security to eventual membership rather than permanent non-alignment, sustaining trader consensus that no binding commitment to forgo joining before 2027 will occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g. If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).
An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. The September 8, 1995 “Agreed Basic Principles” between Bosnia and Yugoslavia which recognized the borders and sovereignty of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and was later formalized through the Dayton Peace Agreement is an example of a qualifying agreement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the Ukraine, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming a qualifying agreement has been reached will also count.
Volume
$134,460Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ukraine’s constitutional commitment to NATO membership remains unchanged, with President Zelenskyy actively reaffirming the goal at the July 2026 Ankara Summit while NATO Allies reiterated an “irreversible path” to full integration and pledged €70 billion in aid for 2026.** No formal agreement limiting or suspending accession has emerged despite earlier 2025 signals during peace talks that Kyiv might accept neutrality in exchange for security guarantees. Ongoing interoperability improvements, reform progress, and the removal of the Membership Action Plan requirement have instead kept accession as a one-step process once Allies unanimously agree conditions are met. Recent statements from Ukrainian officials and NATO communiqués continue to tie long-term security to eventual membership rather than permanent non-alignment, sustaining trader consensus that no binding commitment to forgo joining before 2027 will occur.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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