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icon for Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?

Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?

icon for Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?

Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?

11% chance
Polymarket

$12,374 Vol.

11% chance
Polymarket

$12,374 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine. A nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify. An appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position. If the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Zelenskyy's July 16 decision to name acting SBU chief Yevhen Khmara as acting defense minister, following the ouster of Mykhailo Fedorov amid a broader cabinet reshuffle, has placed the market near even odds. Khmara's background leading the SBU Alpha special operations unit and experience in asymmetric strikes provide continuity in wartime priorities, yet the role requires parliamentary confirmation that has not yet occurred. Public backlash over Fedorov's removal, procedural timelines before the July 31 cutoff, and uncertainty over whether Zelenskyy will advance a permanent nomination create competitive balance. A swift Verkhovna Rada vote or formal decree could strengthen Yes positioning, while delays, opposition holds, or further leadership turbulence might favor No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine.

A nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify.

An appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position.

If the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,374
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine. A nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify. An appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position. If the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine. A nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify. An appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position. If the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Zelenskyy's July 16 decision to name acting SBU chief Yevhen Khmara as acting defense minister, following the ouster of Mykhailo Fedorov amid a broader cabinet reshuffle, has placed the market near even odds. Khmara's background leading the SBU Alpha special operations unit and experience in asymmetric strikes provide continuity in wartime priorities, yet the role requires parliamentary confirmation that has not yet occurred. Public backlash over Fedorov's removal, procedural timelines before the July 31 cutoff, and uncertainty over whether Zelenskyy will advance a permanent nomination create competitive balance. A swift Verkhovna Rada vote or formal decree could strengthen Yes positioning, while delays, opposition holds, or further leadership turbulence might favor No.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine.

A nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify.

An appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position.

If the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$12,374
Data de Término
31 jul 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Verkhovna Rada appoints Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An appointment will be considered to have occurred when the Verkhovna Rada adopts a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine. A nomination submitted by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, parliamentary committee recommendation, public statement, media report, expression of intent, informal announcement, or appointment of Yevhen Khmara to perform the minister’s duties on an acting basis will not qualify. An appointment resolution adopted by the Verkhovna Rada before the market deadline will qualify regardless of when Yevhen Khmara takes the oath of office or begins performing the duties of the position. If the Verkhovna Rada does not adopt a resolution appointing Yevhen Khmara as Minister of Defence of Ukraine by July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM Kyiv time, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information and records from the Verkhovna Rada, including adopted appointment resolutions and official voting records; however, official information from the President of Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 11% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 11¢, the market collectively assigns a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?" is 11% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.