Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates firmly ahead, leaving smaller parties clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fourth place. The Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) hold the highest implied probabilities in the market at 37% and 28.5%, reflecting modest recent gains for both amid stable bloc trends, while the Centre Party and Greens trail at 20% and 16%. Tight spreads among these mid-tier parties stem from consistent polling volatility within the 4% threshold zone and limited late-campaign differentiation on key issues like immigration and welfare. Further separation could emerge from final-week turnout shifts, debate performances, or bloc coalition signals that boost or suppress one contender relative to the others.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLeft Party (V) 37%
Christian Democrats (KD) 28%
Centre Party (C) 20%
Green Party (MP) 16%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
Left Party (V)
37%
Christian Democrats (KD)
28%
Centre Party (C)
20%
Green Party (MP)
16%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
10%
Liberals (L)
2%
Moderate Party (M)
2%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
1%
Left Party (V) 37%
Christian Democrats (KD) 28%
Centre Party (C) 20%
Green Party (MP) 16%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
Left Party (V)
$0 Vol.
37%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$192 Vol.
28%
Centre Party (C)
$25 Vol.
20%
Green Party (MP)
$67 Vol.
16%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$48 Vol.
10%
Liberals (L)
$81 Vol.
2%
Moderate Party (M)
$81 Vol.
2%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$66 Vol.
2%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$88 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates firmly ahead, leaving smaller parties clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fourth place. The Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) hold the highest implied probabilities in the market at 37% and 28.5%, reflecting modest recent gains for both amid stable bloc trends, while the Centre Party and Greens trail at 20% and 16%. Tight spreads among these mid-tier parties stem from consistent polling volatility within the 4% threshold zone and limited late-campaign differentiation on key issues like immigration and welfare. Further separation could emerge from final-week turnout shifts, debate performances, or bloc coalition signals that boost or suppress one contender relative to the others.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ET
Volume
$648Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates firmly ahead, leaving smaller parties clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fourth place. The Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) hold the highest implied probabilities in the market at 37% and 28.5%, reflecting modest recent gains for both amid stable bloc trends, while the Centre Party and Greens trail at 20% and 16%. Tight spreads among these mid-tier parties stem from consistent polling volatility within the 4% threshold zone and limited late-campaign differentiation on key issues like immigration and welfare. Further separation could emerge from final-week turnout shifts, debate performances, or bloc coalition signals that boost or suppress one contender relative to the others.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$648Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows the Social Democrats, Sweden Democrats, and Moderates firmly ahead, leaving smaller parties clustered in the 6-8% range and competing directly for fourth place. The Left Party (V) and Christian Democrats (KD) hold the highest implied probabilities in the market at 37% and 28.5%, reflecting modest recent gains for both amid stable bloc trends, while the Centre Party and Greens trail at 20% and 16%. Tight spreads among these mid-tier parties stem from consistent polling volatility within the 4% threshold zone and limited late-campaign differentiation on key issues like immigration and welfare. Further separation could emerge from final-week turnout shifts, debate performances, or bloc coalition signals that boost or suppress one contender relative to the others.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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