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icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Política·Eleição Principal

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

icon for Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Política·Eleição Principal

Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Moderate Party (M) 75%

Sweden Democrats (SD) 23%

Green Party (MP) <1%

Left Party (V) <1%

Polymarket

$49,712 Vol.

Moderate Party (M) 75%

Sweden Democrats (SD) 23%

Green Party (MP) <1%

Left Party (V) <1%

Polymarket

$49,712 Vol.

icon for Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$3,199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sweden Democrats (SD)

Sweden Democrats (SD)

$8,981 Vol.

23%

icon for Moderate Party (M)

Moderate Party (M)

$17,307 Vol.

75%

icon for Centre Party (C)

Centre Party (C)

$3,247 Vol.

<1%

icon for Left Party (V)

Left Party (V)

$4,282 Vol.

1%

icon for Christian Democrats (KD)

Christian Democrats (KD)

$2,569 Vol.

<1%

icon for Green Party (MP)

Green Party (MP)

$3,510 Vol.

1%

icon for Liberals (L)

Liberals (L)

$3,106 Vol.

<1%

icon for Citizens' Coalition (MED)

Citizens' Coalition (MED)

$3,511 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 30-31%, followed by the Sweden Democrats around 19-20% and the Moderate Party at 17-18%, with other parties trailing further behind. This consistent ordering in multiple surveys from institutes including Novus, Verian, and Demoskop has positioned the Moderates as the frontrunner for third place in trader assessments. The Sweden Democrats' modest polling edge over the Moderates accounts for their secondary probability, while the Liberals' persistent weakness below the 4% threshold and stable support levels for smaller parties like the Greens and Left have kept their third-place odds negligible. The campaign's focus on economic pressures and bloc competition has not produced shifts large enough to alter this hierarchy in recent weeks.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$49,712
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election show the Social Democrats maintaining a clear lead near 30-31%, followed by the Sweden Democrats around 19-20% and the Moderate Party at 17-18%, with other parties trailing further behind. This consistent ordering in multiple surveys from institutes including Novus, Verian, and Demoskop has positioned the Moderates as the frontrunner for third place in trader assessments. The Sweden Democrats' modest polling edge over the Moderates accounts for their secondary probability, while the Liberals' persistent weakness below the 4% threshold and stable support levels for smaller parties like the Greens and Left have kept their third-place odds negligible. The campaign's focus on economic pressures and bloc competition has not produced shifts large enough to alter this hierarchy in recent weeks.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$49,712
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Moderate Party (M)" at 75%, followed by "Sweden Democrats (SD)" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" has generated $49.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is "Moderate Party (M)" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sweden Democrats (SD)" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.