Wes Climer secured the Republican nomination without opposition for South Carolina’s open 5th District seat after incumbent Ralph Norman pursued the governorship, positioning the state senator as the clear favorite in a district with a consistent Republican lean and strong historical margins for the party. Traders assign Climer 91.5% implied probability due to his established local profile in York County, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements aligning with the district’s conservative electorate, while Democrat Mallory Dittmer, the primary winner, trails at 7.5% amid limited resources and the seat’s structural advantages for Republicans. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSC-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
SC-05 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$10,853 Vol.
$10,853 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Wes Climer (R)
92%
Mallory Dittmer (D)
8%
$10,853 Vol.
$10,853 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Wes Climer (R)
$4,218 Vol.
92%
Mallory Dittmer (D)
$6,635 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wes Climer secured the Republican nomination without opposition for South Carolina’s open 5th District seat after incumbent Ralph Norman pursued the governorship, positioning the state senator as the clear favorite in a district with a consistent Republican lean and strong historical margins for the party. Traders assign Climer 91.5% implied probability due to his established local profile in York County, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements aligning with the district’s conservative electorate, while Democrat Mallory Dittmer, the primary winner, trails at 7.5% amid limited resources and the seat’s structural advantages for Republicans. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$10,853Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wes Climer secured the Republican nomination without opposition for South Carolina’s open 5th District seat after incumbent Ralph Norman pursued the governorship, positioning the state senator as the clear favorite in a district with a consistent Republican lean and strong historical margins for the party. Traders assign Climer 91.5% implied probability due to his established local profile in York County, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements aligning with the district’s conservative electorate, while Democrat Mallory Dittmer, the primary winner, trails at 7.5% amid limited resources and the seat’s structural advantages for Republicans. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$10,853Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wes Climer secured the Republican nomination without opposition for South Carolina’s open 5th District seat after incumbent Ralph Norman pursued the governorship, positioning the state senator as the clear favorite in a district with a consistent Republican lean and strong historical margins for the party. Traders assign Climer 91.5% implied probability due to his established local profile in York County, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements aligning with the district’s conservative electorate, while Democrat Mallory Dittmer, the primary winner, trails at 7.5% amid limited resources and the seat’s structural advantages for Republicans. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, sharp shifts in national conditions, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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