Teresa Surita's official MDB nomination in early August has reinforced her position as the consensus favorite for first place in Roraima's October 4 Senate contest, drawing on her multiple terms as Boa Vista mayor and established statewide profile. A crowded field of 13 registered candidates fragments support, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) benefiting from family backing yet trailing in implied probabilities amid scattered preferences for names like Chico Rodrigues and Pastor Isamar. Recent polling showed high undecided shares and technical ties among top contenders, keeping outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns and last-minute alliances in this two-seat race. Traders price the lead accordingly while noting how late shifts among minor candidates could still reorder results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTeresa Surita 57%
Regina Tio Ivo 29%
Hiperion de Oliveira 20%
Chico Rodrigues 18%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Teresa Surita
59%
Regina Tio Ivo
29%
Hiperion de Oliveira
15%
Chico Rodrigues
18%
Pastor Isamar
17%
Helio Bolsonaro
18%
Helena da Asatur
10%
Nicoletti
8%
Hilton Xavier
7%
Márcio Junqueira
6%
Rogério Miranda
6%
Mario Rocha
4%
Bartô Macuxi
3%
Teresa Surita 57%
Regina Tio Ivo 29%
Hiperion de Oliveira 20%
Chico Rodrigues 18%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Teresa Surita
$392 Vol.
59%
Regina Tio Ivo
$82 Vol.
29%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$98 Vol.
15%
Chico Rodrigues
$98 Vol.
18%
Pastor Isamar
$121 Vol.
17%
Helio Bolsonaro
$102 Vol.
18%
Helena da Asatur
$91 Vol.
10%
Nicoletti
$98 Vol.
8%
Hilton Xavier
$82 Vol.
7%
Márcio Junqueira
$82 Vol.
6%
Rogério Miranda
$248 Vol.
6%
Mario Rocha
$97 Vol.
4%
Bartô Macuxi
$90 Vol.
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita's official MDB nomination in early August has reinforced her position as the consensus favorite for first place in Roraima's October 4 Senate contest, drawing on her multiple terms as Boa Vista mayor and established statewide profile. A crowded field of 13 registered candidates fragments support, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) benefiting from family backing yet trailing in implied probabilities amid scattered preferences for names like Chico Rodrigues and Pastor Isamar. Recent polling showed high undecided shares and technical ties among top contenders, keeping outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns and last-minute alliances in this two-seat race. Traders price the lead accordingly while noting how late shifts among minor candidates could still reorder results.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$1,679Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita's official MDB nomination in early August has reinforced her position as the consensus favorite for first place in Roraima's October 4 Senate contest, drawing on her multiple terms as Boa Vista mayor and established statewide profile. A crowded field of 13 registered candidates fragments support, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) benefiting from family backing yet trailing in implied probabilities amid scattered preferences for names like Chico Rodrigues and Pastor Isamar. Recent polling showed high undecided shares and technical ties among top contenders, keeping outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns and last-minute alliances in this two-seat race. Traders price the lead accordingly while noting how late shifts among minor candidates could still reorder results.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,679Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita's official MDB nomination in early August has reinforced her position as the consensus favorite for first place in Roraima's October 4 Senate contest, drawing on her multiple terms as Boa Vista mayor and established statewide profile. A crowded field of 13 registered candidates fragments support, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) benefiting from family backing yet trailing in implied probabilities amid scattered preferences for names like Chico Rodrigues and Pastor Isamar. Recent polling showed high undecided shares and technical ties among top contenders, keeping outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns and last-minute alliances in this two-seat race. Traders price the lead accordingly while noting how late shifts among minor candidates could still reorder results.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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